Tuesday , 18 August 2026

Athletic Club vs UD Almeria, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Fri 6 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC San Mames 43,677 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gorka Guruzeta 10' 1–0
Dani Garcia 63' 2–0
Oihan Sancet 81' 3–0
De Marcos 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs UD AlmeriaLa Liga at San Mames.

Match Details

  • Referee Victor Garcia Verdura
  • Assistant 1 Joan Mendez Mateo (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Julian Villasenor Julian (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct UD Almeria H 3–0 W
30 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–3 L
27 Sep Getafe CF H 2–2 D
22 Sep Deportivo Alavés A 2–0 W
16 Sep Cadiz CF H 3–0 W
03 Sep RCD Mallorca A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Athletic Club A 0–3 L
01 Oct Granada CF H 3–3 D
26 Sep Sevilla FC A 1–5 L
23 Sep Valencia CF H 2–2 D
17 Sep Villarreal CF A 1–2 L
01 Sep RC Celta de Vigo H 2–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Athletic Club and UD Almeria has kicked off!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at San Mames. Athletic Club seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 8' Time for substitution for Athletic Club. Yeray Alvarez is replaced by Aitor Paredes Casamichana.
  • 10' What a strike from Oihan Sancet! The score is 1-0.
  • 15' UD Almeria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' Spain international Unai Simon has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 35' UD Almeria have won 187 goals from 160 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' UD Almeria are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' UD Almeria fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 52' It’s a booking for Athletic Club player. Ander Herrera gets a Yellow card.
  • 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 62' It’s high time Daniel Bejarano made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 63' A stunning finish from Dani Garcia — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 68' UD Almeria ring the changes. Houboulang Mendes has done his job and it is now time for Alejandro Pozo to step up.
  • 69' It is a substitution in UD Almeria team. Gonzalo Melero is replaced by Sergio Arribas on 69 minute.
  • 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Athletic Club. Gorka Guruzeta is replaced by Asier Villalibre.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Largie Ramazani as he leaves the pitch. Lazaro steps in for UD Almeria.
  • 81' The deadlock is broken! Oihan Sancet gets on the scoresheet on 81 minutes.
  • 82' Arnau Puigmal gets the nod from UD Almeria. He replaces Iddrisu Baba and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' It’s a booking for Athletic Club player. De Marcos gets a Yellow card.
  • 89' Athletic Club are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined UD Almeria backline.
  • Another three points for Athletic Club.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.22 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: Athletic Club to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club68% Draw20% UD Almeria12%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
88%
Draw or UD Almeria
32%
Athletic Club or UD Almeria
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club49% Draw40% UD Almeria11%
Actual: Athletic Club win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12%
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.3%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 21% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 23% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
46%
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.