Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Liverpool FC, FA Cup 2020-21 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2020-21
Fri 8 Jan 2021 · 19:45 UTC Villa Park HT 45+2' · FT 45+2'
Y 44' Curtis Jones

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Liverpool FCFA Cup at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Referee Richard West
  • Referee Stuart Burt
  • Referee Anthony Taylor

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Liverpool FC H 1–4 L
01 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–2 L
28 Dec Chelsea FC A 1–1 D
26 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 3–0 W
20 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–0 W
17 Dec Burnley FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Aston Villa FC A 4–1 W
04 Jan Southampton FC A 0–1 L
30 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–0 D
27 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
19 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 7–0 W
16 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Aston Villa FC welcome Liverpool FC for this crunch clash at Villa Park.
  • 4' A goal from the Senegal international Sadio Mane! He fires home on 4 to make it 0-1!
  • 9' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 14' Takumi Minamino is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Liverpool FC tonight.
  • 19' Louie Barry has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 355 appearances.
  • 24' Liverpool FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. Aston Villa FC and Liverpool FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' James Milner has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 41' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Louie Barry makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 44' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Curtis Jones.
  • 46' Thiago Alcantara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jordan Henderson at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Fabinho is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Liverpool FC.
  • 60' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Georginio Wijnaldum makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 61' Fresh legs for Liverpool FC! Xherdan Shaqiri comes on to replace Takumi Minamino.
  • 63' What a moment for Sadio Mane! That strike on 63 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 65' Goal! Mohamed Salah scores his 213 goal in 409 matches.
  • 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 74' Another substitution for Liverpool FC to replace Sadio Mane by Divock Origi on 74 minute.
  • 79' Aston Villa FC have won 497 goals from 355 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 89' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Akos Onodi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 1-4 the final result. Aston Villa FC will be bitterly disappointed.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.41 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Liverpool FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC31% Draw27% Liverpool FC42%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Liverpool FC
69%
Aston Villa FC or Liverpool FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC24% Draw43% Liverpool FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.