Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 05:05 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo VerdyJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 2–2 D
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–2 L
15 Feb Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–1 D
08 Dec Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
02 Mar Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
26 Feb FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
22 Feb Kashima Antlers A 0–4 L
16 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L
08 Dec Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Albirex Niigata and Tokyo Verdy get this one started.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Tokyo Verdy is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yudai Kimura on 10.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 19' The referee calls foul for Taiki Arai. He receives a card.
  • 24' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Tokyo Verdy backline.
  • 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
  • 39' Yuto Tsunashima is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Albirex Niigata tonight.
  • 42' Motoki Hasegawa has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
  • 45' The referee shows Tokyo Verdy player a card on 45.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 53' The referee shows Albirex Niigata player a card on 53.
  • 54' Fresh legs for Tokyo Verdy! Hiroto Yamami comes on to replace Itsuki Someno.
  • 58' Michael Fitzgerald has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
  • 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 68' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Tokyo Verdy seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Tokyo VerdySoma Meshino on, Kazuya Miyahara off on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Yuan Matsuhashi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 75' Magnificent from Yuto Tsunashima! That is 5 goals in 95 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 76' A tactical swap from Albirex NiigataJin Okumura on, Ken Yamura off on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Albirex Niigata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Tokyo Verdy's shape.
  • 83' Danilo is replacing Shusuke Ota for the Albirex Niigata side.
  • 86' The whistle greets Kaito Taniguchi as he departs to be replaced by Riku Ochiai.
  • 90' That is a card for Albirex Niigata. Riku Ochiai will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Tokyo Verdy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kaito Suzuki is hanging Yuto Tsunashima on the field on 90 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Tokyo Verdy xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Tokyo Verdy 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata40% Draw27% Tokyo Verdy33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
67%
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
60%
Albirex Niigata or Tokyo Verdy
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata29% Draw45% Tokyo Verdy26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Tokyo Verdy covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
25%
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.