Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AZ vs SBV Excelsior, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2018-19
2 – 1
Full Time
Sat 15 Dec 2018 · 18:45 UTC AFAS Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AZ vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie at AFAS Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Joost van Zuilen
  • Referee Rob Dieperink
  • Referee Luca Cantineau
  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
  • Referee Don Frijn

Head-to-Head

4
2
2
AZ 8 games · Avg 3.5 goals SBV Excelsior

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec SBV Excelsior H 2–1 W
07 Dec Fortuna Sittard A 3–0 W
01 Dec Willem II Tilburg H 0–2 L
25 Nov VVV Venlo A 2–2 D
11 Nov ADO Den Haag A 1–0 W
03 Nov VBV De Graafschap H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec AZ A 1–2 L
07 Dec PSV A 0–6 L
30 Nov FC Utrecht H 3–3 D
25 Nov FC Emmen A 2–1 W
11 Nov AFC Ajax H 1–7 L
02 Nov FC Groningen H 2–4 L

Season Stats

AZ SBV Excelsior
#1 Position #7
19 Points 11
7 Played 7
6 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 2
18 Scored 15
6 Conceded 9
+12 GD +6
2.71 PPG 1.57
86% Win % 43%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
AZ this season
29% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

AZ are 1st (19 pts). SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AZ
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AZ kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Jonas Svensson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. AZ in their trying to find a way past SBV Excelsior's compact .
  • 15' AZ are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SBV Excelsior's shape.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' Denis Mahmudov puts SBV Excelsior on the lead.
  • 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 39' Brilliant from the ! Guus Til makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 39.
  • 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AZ that had 304 games and scored 579 goals.
  • 57' AZ receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fredrik Midtsjo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 67' Both keepers have barely been tested. AZ and SBV Excelsior are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 71' SBV Excelsior ring the changes. Elias Mar Omarsson has done his job and it is now time for Mounir El Hamdaoui to step up.
  • 72' Bjorn Maars Johnsen gets the nod from AZ. He replaces Calvin Stengs and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' SBV Excelsior receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 75.
  • 80' SBV Excelsior come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 85' Alessandro Damen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 140 appearances.
  • 86' SBV Excelsior make a change. Ali Messaoud trudges off to be replaced by Anouar Hadouir on 86 minutes.
  • 90' Bjorn Maars Johnsen does the damage! The net is bulging and AZ surge ahead!
  • 2-1 the final result. SBV Excelsior will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: AZ to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AZ61% Draw22% SBV Excelsior17%
Actual: AZ win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AZ or Draw
83%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
39%
AZ or SBV Excelsior
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AZ44% Draw42% SBV Excelsior14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.5%
4 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AZ

Handicap AZ covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 19% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 23% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AZ keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.