AZ vs NEC, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

1 – 3

Full Time

NEC

Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AZ vs NEC — Eredivisie .

AZ 2 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
NEC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk

7 games this season 🟨 0.1/game ⚽ 3.4 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	2	6
2	Fortuna Sittard	2	4
3	PSV	2	4
4	SBV Excelsior	2	3
5	Go Ahead Eagles	1	3
6	NEC	2	3
7	AFC Ajax	1	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	2	3
9	FC Groningen	1	3
10	Feyenoord Rotterdam	1	3
11	SC Heerenveen	1	3
12	Telstar 1963	2	3
13	FC Twente '65	1	0
14	ADO Den Haag	1	0
15	PEC Zwolle	1	0
16	FC Utrecht	2	0
17	Willem II Tilburg	2	0
18	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	2	0

Head-to-Head

AZ 10 games · Avg 3.1 goals NEC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-31 AZ 1–3 NEC 2025-09-28 NEC 2–1 AZ 2025-03-29 NEC 3–3 AZ 2024-08-17 AZ 1–0 NEC 2024-04-28 NEC 0–3 AZ

Recent Form

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	NEC	H	1–3	L
25 Jan	Telstar 1963	A	1–0	W
21 Jan	SBV Excelsior	H	1–1	D
17 Jan	PEC Zwolle	A	1–3	L
10 Jan	FC Volendam	H	1–0	W
21 Dec	Fortuna Sittard	A	3–4	L

NEC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	AZ	A	3–1	W
24 Jan	PEC Zwolle	H	2–1	W
17 Jan	NAC Breda	A	4–3	W
20 Dec	AFC Ajax	H	2–2	D
13 Dec	Telstar 1963	A	2–2	D
07 Dec	FC Volendam	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

AZ		NEC
#1	Position	#6
6	Points	3
2	Played	2
2 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 1
6	Scored	5
1	Conceded	3
+5	GD	+2
3.00	PPG	1.50
100%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season

AZ are 1st (6 pts). NEC are 6th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

2/1

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

NEC

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! AZ welcome NEC for this crunch clash at .
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.

Lineups

AZ Lineups

NEC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jesper Karlsson	7
Rodrigo Guth	2
Vito van Crooij	2
Vangelis Pavlidis	2
Jordy Bruijn	2
Ernest Poku	2
Hakon Evjen	2
Troy Parrott	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.4 AZ xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 NEC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AZ50% Draw23% NEC27%

Actual: NEC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.84

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

AZ or Draw

73%

Draw or NEC

50%

AZ or NEC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AZ43% Draw37% NEC20%

Actual: NEC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–3 not predicted

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 1

8.2%

3 – 1

6.8%

2 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

6.1%

1 – 2

5.2%

3 – 2

4.9%

3 – 0

4.9%

1 – 0

4.8%

4 – 1

4.1%

0 – 0

3.3%

4 – 2

Asian Handicap — AZ

Handicap	AZ covers	Push	NEC covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	17%	63%
-1.5	37%	—	63%
-1	37%	20%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	12%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

AZ keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

NEC keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.