Sunday , 16 August 2026

AJ Auxerre vs FC Nantes, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
1 1
Full Time
Sat 10 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps 17,277 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gaetan Perrin 45' 1–0
1–1 62' Louis Leroux

Overview

Match Preview

AJ Auxerre vs FC NantesLigue 1 at Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier
  • Assistant 1 Yannick Boutry
  • Assistant 2 Julien Aube

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May FC Nantes H 1–1 D
04 May Le Havre AC H 1–2 L
27 Apr Racing Club de Lens A 4–0 W
20 Apr Lille OSC A 1–3 L
13 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 1–3 L
06 Apr Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May AJ Auxerre A 1–1 D
04 May Angers SCO H 0–1 L
27 Apr Toulouse FC H 0–0 D
22 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
18 Apr Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–2 L
04 Apr OGC Nice A 2–1 W

Season Stats

AJ Auxerre FC Nantes
#19 Position #1
0 Points 24
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 5 / 9 / 20
0 Scored 29
0 Conceded 52
+0 GD -23
PPG 0.71
Win % 15%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AJ Auxerre are 19th (0 pts). FC Nantes are 1st (24 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.51 AJ Auxerre xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 FC Nantes xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + Under — clean sheet likely 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AJ Auxerre28% Draw39% FC Nantes33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 69%
31%
± 1.5 36%
64%
± 2.5 14%
86%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

AJ Auxerre or Draw
67%
Draw or FC Nantes
72%
AJ Auxerre or FC Nantes
61%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AJ Auxerre12% Draw67% FC Nantes21%
Actual: AJ Auxerre win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
31.4%
0 – 1
19.4%
1 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
1.7%
2 – 2
1.3%
1 – 3
1.1%
3 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — AJ Auxerre

Handicap AJ Auxerre covers Push FC Nantes covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 16% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 24% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AJ Auxerre keeps clean sheet
48%
FC Nantes keeps clean sheet
60%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.