Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion FCLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Atkinson (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Burton Albion FC H 0–1 L
18 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–1 W
11 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–1 D
04 Oct Blackpool FC A 2–0 W
27 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
20 Sep Doncaster Rovers FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct AFC Wimbledon A 1–0 W
18 Oct Peterborough United FC H 0–1 L
11 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
04 Oct Doncaster Rovers FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Cardiff City FC A 1–0 W
27 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–4 L

Season Stats

AFC Wimbledon Burton Albion FC
#19 Position #17
53 Points 54
46 Played 46
15 / 8 / 23 W / D / L 13 / 15 / 18
51 Scored 50
72 Conceded 60
-21 GD -10
1.15 PPG 1.17
33% Win % 28%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AFC Wimbledon are 19th (53 pts). Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.97 AFC Wimbledon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Wimbledon31% Draw32% Burton Albion FC37%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

AFC Wimbledon or Draw
62%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
69%
AFC Wimbledon or Burton Albion FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Wimbledon20% Draw53% Burton Albion FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon

Handicap AFC Wimbledon covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
31%
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.