Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs VVV Venlo, Eredivisie 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2020-21
3 – 1
Full Time
Thu 13 May 2021 · 12:30 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs VVV Venlo — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Referee Mario Diks
  • Referee Cristian Dobre
  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Referee Martin Perez
  • Referee Dyon Fikkert
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 May VVV Venlo H 3–1 W
09 May Feyenoord Rotterdam A 3–0 W
02 May FC Emmen H 4–0 W
25 Apr AZ H 2–0 W
22 Apr FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
15 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 May AFC Ajax A 1–3 L
08 May RKC Waalwijk H 3–3 D
01 May Heracles Almelo A 0–4 L
24 Apr Sparta Rotterdam A 0–2 L
11 Apr PSV H 0–2 L
03 Apr FC Groningen H 0–1 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.64 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 VVV Venlo xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 75% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax75% Draw16% VVV Venlo9%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
91%
Draw or VVV Venlo
25%
AFC Ajax or VVV Venlo
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax56% Draw35% VVV Venlo9%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
3 – 0
10%
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
6.5%
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.6%
5 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push VVV Venlo covers
-2.5 34% — 66%
-2 34% 21% 45%
-1.5 55% — 45%
-1 55% 21% 24%
-0.5 76% — 24%
+0.5 92% — 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
47% ✓
VVV Venlo keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.