ACF Fiorentina vs Moreirense FC, 2014

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Serie A 2014/15 · 2014

ACF Fiorentina

2 – 0

Full Time

Moreirense FC

Wed 15 Apr 2015 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Moreirense FC — Serie A .

ACF Fiorentina 0 games · 0 pts
Moreirense FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ACF Fiorentina 1.62

Draw 3.80

Moreirense FC 6.00

Head-to-Head

ACF Fiorentina 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Moreirense FC

Last 5 meetings

2015-04-15 ACF Fiorentina 2–0 Moreirense FC 2014-10-05 Moreirense FC 1–2 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	Moreirense FC	H	2–0	W
11 Apr	Chennai City FC	H	2–0	W
04 Apr	Genoa CFC	H	1–1	D
22 Mar	Indian Arrows	A	0–1	L
15 Mar	UC Sampdoria	H	0–2	L
08 Mar	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	1–1	D

Moreirense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	ACF Fiorentina	A	0–2	L
11 Apr	Indian Arrows	H	1–0	W
08 Apr	Genoa CFC	H	1–0	W
04 Apr	Udinese Calcio	A	1–1	D
22 Mar	Parma Calcio 1913	H	0–2	L
15 Mar	AC Milan	A	1–4	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
With this win, ACF Fiorentina is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.62 ACF Fiorentina xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 Moreirense FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57% + ACF Fiorentina to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

ACF Fiorentina56% Draw26% Moreirense FC18%

Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.43

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw

82%

Draw or Moreirense FC

44%

ACF Fiorentina or Moreirense FC

74%

Half-Time Result

ACF Fiorentina38% Draw48% Moreirense FC14%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

13.4%

1 – 1

12.4%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

10.9%

2 – 1

0 – 1

6.1%

3 – 0

3 – 1

4.9%

1 – 2

4.4%

2 – 2

3.7%

0 – 2

2.8%

4 – 0

2.4%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap	ACF Fiorentina covers	Push	Moreirense FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	17%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	25%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	12%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.