Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Empoli FC vs Padova Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs Padova Calcio — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Maria Caputi (Italy)
5 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 4.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Empoli FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Padova Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Padova Calcio H 3–1 W
25 May Hellas Verona FC H 1–2 L
18 May AC Monza A 3–1 W
10 May Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–1 W
04 May SS Lazio H 0–1 L
27 Apr ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Empoli FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Empoli FC Padova Calcio
#13 Position #6
6 Points 7
5 Played 5
2 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 2
4 Scored 5
6 Conceded 6
-2 GD -1
1.20 PPG 1.40
40% Win % 40%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Empoli FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season

Empoli FC are 13th (6 pts). Padova Calcio are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Empoli FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Padova Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Padova Calcio
Pietro Fusi 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Empoli FC Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Padova Calcio xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC54% Draw25% Padova Calcio21%
Actual: Empoli FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Padova Calcio
46%
Empoli FC or Padova Calcio
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC38% Draw45% Padova Calcio17%
Actual: Empoli FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push Padova Calcio covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.