1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 2015

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1. Bundesliga 2015/16 · 2015

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 – 2

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sun 10 Apr 2016 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

1. FSV Mainz 05 4.20

Draw 4.00

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.73

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2016-04-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2015-11-08 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-02-28 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2014-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–2	D
02 Apr	1. FC Koln	A	0–3	L
18 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–1	W
11 Mar	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	0–2	L
05 Mar	Karlsruher SC	A	3–1	W
02 Mar	TuS Dassendorf	H	3–2	W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Apr	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–2	D
02 Apr	Wroxham FC	H	3–2	W
20 Mar	MSV Duisburg	A	3–1	W
13 Mar	SV Linx 1949	H	2–0	W
05 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–0	D
02 Mar	RB Leipzig	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Bayer 04 Leverkusen kicks off things out of here…
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	5
Lucas Alario	4
Alejandro Grimaldo	2
Aaron Martin	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Jeremie Frimpong	2
Nadiem Amiri	2
Kai Havertz	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2016-04-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2016-04-02 1. FC Koln 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2016-03-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2016-03-11 SV Sandhausen 1916 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2016-03-05 Karlsruher SC 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2016-03-02 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 TuS Dassendorf W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2016-04-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2016-04-02 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 Wroxham FC W 2016-03-20 MSV Duisburg 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2016-03-13 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 SV Linx 1949 W 2016-03-05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 VfL Wolfsburg D 2016-03-02 RB Leipzig 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.5 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.62 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0536% Draw27% Bayer 04 Leverkusen37%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

63%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

64%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

73%

Half-Time Result

1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw43% Bayer 04 Leverkusen30%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 2

8.4%

2 – 1

7.8%

0 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

6.1%

1 – 0

5.8%

0 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

1 – 3

4.5%

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	18%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	19%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.