1. CfR Pforzheim vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2015

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1. Bundesliga 2015/16 · 2015

1. CfR Pforzheim

3 – 1

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Sat 14 May 2016 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. CfR Pforzheim vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — Bundesliga .

1. CfR Pforzheim 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

1. CfR Pforzheim 2.30

Draw 4.00

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.75

Head-to-Head

1. CfR Pforzheim 6 games · Avg 3.2 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2016-05-14 1. CfR Pforzheim 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-12-19 FC Erzgebirge Aue 3–1 1. CfR Pforzheim 2015-04-04 1. CfR Pforzheim 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2014-11-01 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–4 1. CfR Pforzheim

Recent Form

1. CfR Pforzheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 May	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	3–1	W
07 May	TuS Dassendorf	A	1–0	W
30 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–5	L
23 Apr	MSV Duisburg	H	0–2	L
16 Apr	Wroxham FC	A	2–3	L
09 Apr	SV Linx 1949	H	1–1	D

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 May	1. CfR Pforzheim	A	1–3	L
07 May	SV Linx 1949	H	1–3	L
02 May	Wroxham FC	A	2–6	L
23 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–3	L
16 Apr	MSV Duisburg	A	0–1	L
09 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–3	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! 1. CfR Pforzheim welcome FC Erzgebirge Aue for this crunch clash at .
The points are shared — 1. CfR Pforzheim 3-1 FC Erzgebirge Aue. Honours even.

Lineups

1. CfR Pforzheim Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

1. CfR Pforzheim Form

2016-05-14 1. CfR Pforzheim 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2016-05-07 TuS Dassendorf 0–1 1. CfR Pforzheim W 2016-04-30 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 1. CfR Pforzheim L 2016-04-23 1. CfR Pforzheim 0–2 MSV Duisburg L 2016-04-16 Wroxham FC 3–2 1. CfR Pforzheim L 2016-04-09 1. CfR Pforzheim 1–1 SV Linx 1949 D

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2016-05-14 1. CfR Pforzheim 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2016-05-07 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 SV Linx 1949 L 2016-05-02 Wroxham FC 6–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2016-04-23 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2016-04-16 MSV Duisburg 1–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2016-04-09 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

2.02 1. CfR Pforzheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.16 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. CfR Pforzheim58% Draw22% FC Erzgebirge Aue20%

Actual: 1. CfR Pforzheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.18

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

1. CfR Pforzheim or Draw

81%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

42%

1. CfR Pforzheim or FC Erzgebirge Aue

78%

Half-Time Result

1. CfR Pforzheim41% Draw42% FC Erzgebirge Aue17%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.6%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

8.4%

1 – 0

7.8%

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

5.7%

3 – 0

5.5%

2 – 2

5.5%

1 – 2

5.5%

0 – 1

4.1%

3 – 2

3.7%

4 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. CfR Pforzheim

Handicap	1. CfR Pforzheim covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	17%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	22%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	12%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

1. CfR Pforzheim keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.