Wales vs Slovakia, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Wales vs Slovakia — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Aliaksei Kulbakov
- Referee Svein Oddvar Moen
- Referee Kim Haglund
- Referee Frank Andas
- Referee Ken Henry Johnsen
- Referee Svein Erik Edvartsen
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Slovakia this season
Slovakia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Slovakia
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Slovakia
| Ivan Schranz | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Wales to score. At the same time, Slovakia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Wales are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Slovakia backline.
- 10' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Gareth Bale makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 15' Slovakia have won 25 goals from 107 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 25' Dave Edwards needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 30' Matus Kozacik is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Wales tonight.
- 31' Patrik Hrosovsky has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 31.
- 36' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Patrik Hrosovsky suffering a number of foals already.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Vladimir Weiss is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Slovakia.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Adam Nemec. He replaces Michal Duris on 59 minute.
- 61' What an equalizer from Ondrej Duda!
- 66' Peter Pekarik has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 476 appearances.
- 69' Wales ring the changes. Dave Edwards has done his job and it is now time for Joe Ledley to step up.
- 71' The whistle greets Jonny Williams as he departs to be replaced by Hal Robson-Kanu.
- 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 78' That is a Yellow card for Slovakia. Robert Mak will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' Vladimir Weiss catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 80.
- 81' Hal Robson-Kanu puts Wales on the lead.
- 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Juraj Kucka.
- 83' Slovakia ring the changes. Vladimir Weiss has done his job and it is now time for Miroslav Stoch to step up.
- 88' Aaron Ramsey makes way for Jazz Richards at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Wales.
- 90' A moment of madness from Martin Skrtel on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Slovakia will be frustrated.
- 2-1 the final result. Slovakia will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Wales Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
-
14
Dave Edwards ↓ Joe Ledley 69'
-
10
Aaron Ramsey ↓ Jazz Richards 88'
- 21
- 20
- 6
- 7
- 4
- 5
- 3
- 11
Bench
- 22
- 8
- 1
-
9
Hal Robson-Kanu ↑ 71'
- 18
-
16
Joe Ledley ↑ 69'
-
15
Jazz Richards ↑ 88'
- 23
- 13
- 19
- 17
- 12
Coach
Chris Coleman
Slovakia Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 2
- 17
- 19
-
13
Patrik Hrosovsky ↓ Ondrej Duda 59'
- 23
- 20
- 18
-
7
Vladimir Weiss ↓ Miroslav Stoch 83'
- 4
-
21
Michal Duris ↓ Adam Nemec 59'
Bench
- 5
- 15
-
8
Ondrej Duda ↑ 59'
- 14
- 6
-
10
Miroslav Stoch ↑ 83'
- 1
- 9
- 16
- 12
- 22
-
11
Adam Nemec ↑ 59'
Coach
Jan Kozak
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gareth Bale | 1 |
| Ondrej Duda | 1 |
| Hal Robson-Kanu | 1 |
| Gareth Bale | 1 |
| Ondrej Duda | 1 |
| Hal Robson-Kanu | 1 |
Head to Head
Wales Form
Slovakia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55
Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
Slovakia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Wales or Draw
72%
Draw or Slovakia
54%
Wales or Slovakia
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Wales win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Wales
| Handicap | Wales covers | Push | Slovakia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Slovakia keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.