Wales vs Belgium, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Wales Lineups
Belgium Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hal Robson-Kanu | 1 |
| Sam Vokes | 1 |
| Ashley Williams | 1 |
| Radja Nainggolan | 1 |
| Hal Robson-Kanu | 1 |
| Sam Vokes | 1 |
| Ashley Williams | 1 |
| Radja Nainggolan | 1 |
Wales Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.69
Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Belgium xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Wales or Draw
78%
Draw or Belgium
46%
Wales or Belgium
75%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Wales
| Handicap | Wales covers | Push | Belgium covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Belgium keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.