Valletta FC vs FK Spartaks Jurmala, 2016

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Premier League 2016/17 · 2016

Valletta FC

3 – 2

Full Time

FK Spartaks Jurmala

Sun 5 Mar 2017 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valletta FC vs FK Spartaks Jurmala — Premier League .

Valletta FC 0 games · 0 pts
FK Spartaks Jurmala 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valletta FC 1.67

Draw 4.20

FK Spartaks Jurmala 5.25

Head-to-Head

Valletta FC 9 games · Avg 2.4 goals FK Spartaks Jurmala

Last 5 meetings

2017-03-05 Valletta FC 3–2 FK Spartaks Jurmala 2016-08-13 FK Spartaks Jurmala 1–1 Valletta FC 2016-01-03 FK Spartaks Jurmala 1–1 Valletta FC 2015-08-29 Valletta FC 0–0 FK Spartaks Jurmala 2015-05-24 FK Spartaks Jurmala 0–1 Valletta FC

Recent Form

Valletta FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Mar	FK Spartaks Jurmala	H	3–2	W
26 Feb	FK Crvena Zvezda	H	4–0	W
19 Feb	FK BATE Barysau	A	3–0	W
11 Feb	Malmo FF	A	0–2	L
04 Feb	PSV	H	1–0	W
31 Jan	FC Midtjylland	A	0–0	D

FK Spartaks Jurmala

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Mar	Valletta FC	A	2–3	L
25 Feb	FC Midtjylland	H	2–0	W
11 Feb	PSV	A	0–0	D
04 Feb	FK Sutjeska Niksic	H	6–3	W
01 Feb	FK Crvena Zvezda	A	1–1	D
21 Jan	Cork City FC	A	1–0	W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Valletta FC to score. At the same time, FK Spartaks Jurmala does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The points are shared — Valletta FC 3-2 FK Spartaks Jurmala. Honours even.

Lineups

Valletta FC Lineups

FK Spartaks Jurmala Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Valletta FC Form

2017-03-05 Valletta FC 3–2 FK Spartaks Jurmala W 2017-02-26 Valletta FC 4–0 FK Crvena Zvezda W 2017-02-18 FK BATE Barysau 0–3 Valletta FC W 2017-02-11 Malmo FF 2–0 Valletta FC L 2017-02-04 Valletta FC 1–0 PSV W 2017-01-31 FC Midtjylland 0–0 Valletta FC D

FK Spartaks Jurmala Form

2017-03-05 Valletta FC 3–2 FK Spartaks Jurmala L 2017-02-25 FK Spartaks Jurmala 2–0 FC Midtjylland W 2017-02-11 PSV 0–0 FK Spartaks Jurmala D 2017-02-04 FK Spartaks Jurmala 6–3 FK Sutjeska Niksic W 2017-02-01 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–1 FK Spartaks Jurmala D 2017-01-21 Cork City FC 0–1 FK Spartaks Jurmala W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.56 Valletta FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1 FK Spartaks Jurmala xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Valletta FC52% Draw26% FK Spartaks Jurmala22%

Actual: Valletta FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Valletta FC or Draw

78%

Draw or FK Spartaks Jurmala

48%

Valletta FC or FK Spartaks Jurmala

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Valletta FC34% Draw48% FK Spartaks Jurmala18%

Actual: Valletta FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13%

1 – 0

11.1%

0 – 0

9.8%

2 – 0

9.2%

2 – 1

9.1%

0 – 1

6.7%

1 – 2

5.8%

3 – 1

4.7%

3 – 0

4.7%

2 – 2

4.6%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — Valletta FC

Handicap	Valletta FC covers	Push	FK Spartaks Jurmala covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	23%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Valletta FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

FK Spartaks Jurmala keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.