V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sagan Tosu FC, 2018
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tadashi Baba
- Referee Minoru Tojo
- Referee Toshiyuki Wazumi
- Referee Hironori Tajima
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–5 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Feb | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Feb | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Feb | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Feb | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Feb | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | A | 5–2 | W |
| 06 Feb | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
1/5
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/4
61-75
1/3
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Thiago Santana | 5 G | |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 5 G | |
| Matheus Jesus | 4 G | 2 A |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at as V-Varen Nagasaki face off against Sagan Tosu FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. V-Varen Nagasaki in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
- 25' V-Varen Nagasaki seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' V-Varen Nagasaki is showing some good football. However, V-Varen Nagasaki are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' V-Varen Nagasaki started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 45' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 50' V-Varen Nagasaki currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 55' The 31-year-old Hijiri Onaga has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 65' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Takuya Takagi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daichi Tagami, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 75' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hideto Takahashi made 279 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' Kei Ikeda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 90' Akito Fukuta is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for V-Varen Nagasaki so far.
- It finishes all square. V-Varen Nagasaki and Sagan Tosu FC share the spoils 2-2.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 5
- 4
- 32
-
26
Teppei Usui ↓ Yusuke Maeda 86'
- 15
- 3
- 28
- 9
-
19
Takashi Sawada ↓ Choi Kyubaek 77'
-
11
Musashi Suzuki ↓ Keita Nakamura 65'
Bench
- 18
- 22
-
39
Choi Kyubaek ↑ 77'
-
20
Keita Nakamura ↑ 65'
-
6
Yusuke Maeda ↑ 86'
- 7
- 23
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 20
- 5
- 23
- 13
- 6
- 4
- 40
- 36
-
27
Kyosuke Tagawa ↓ Kei Ikeda 55'
- 9
Bench
- 8
- 3
- 14
-
7
Hiroki Kawano ↑ 74'
-
22
Kei Ikeda ↑ 55'
- 50
- 12
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hideto Takahashi | 1 |
| Takashi Sawada | 1 |
| Musashi Suzuki | 1 |
| Takashi Sawada | 1 |
| Musashi Suzuki | 1 |
| Jung Seunghyun | 1 |
| Hideto Takahashi | 1 |
| Riki Harakawa | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
V-Varen Nagasaki or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
68%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
59%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Sagan Tosu FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.