Ukraine vs Croatia, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 09 Sep Croatia H 5–1 W 02 Sep Poland A 0–1 L 26 Aug Germany A 1–0 W 19 Aug Belgium H 1–0 W 12 Aug Blyth Town FC H 1–1 D 05 Aug Spain H 2–2 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 09 Sep Ukraine A 1–5 L 02 Sep Northern Ireland H 0–0 D 26 Aug Blyth Town FC A 1–4 L 19 Aug Germany H 2–0 W 12 Aug Royal Standard de Liege A 0–2 L 05 Aug Poland H 1–3 L Key Stats
75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Ukraine Lineups
Croatia Lineups
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H2H
Head to Head
Ukraine Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 42.18 Ukraine xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.2 Croatia xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Ukraine winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.38Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 95% 5% ± 1.5 85% 15% ± 2.5 64% 36% ± 3.5 43% 57% ± 4.5 25% 75% Double Chance
Ukraine or Draw 80%Draw or Croatia 43%Ukraine or Croatia 78%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Ukraine win at HTCorrect Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual1 – 1 9.8%2 – 1 9.4%2 – 0 8.1%1 – 0 6.9%3 – 1 6.8%3 – 0 5.7%2 – 2 5.6%1 – 2 5.2%0 – 0 4.9%3 – 2 4.1%4 – 1 3.7%0 – 1 3.5%Asian Handicap — Ukraine
Handicap Ukraine covers Push Croatia covers -2.5 19% — 81% -2 19% 18% 63% -1.5 37% — 63% -1 37% 22% 42% -0.5 58% — 42% +0.5 80% — 20% +1 80% 12% 8% +1.5 92% — 8% +2 92% 5% 3% +2.5 97% — 3% Clean Sheet
Ukraine keeps clean sheet 31% ✓Croatia keeps clean sheet 12% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.