Udinese Calcio vs Churchill Brothers SC, 2015

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Serie A 2015/16 · 2015

Udinese Calcio

2 – 0

Full Time

Churchill Brothers SC

Sat 16 Apr 2016 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs Churchill Brothers SC — Serie A .

Udinese Calcio 0 games · 0 pts
Churchill Brothers SC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Udinese Calcio 3.00

Draw 3.20

Churchill Brothers SC 2.50

Head-to-Head

Udinese Calcio 8 games · Avg 2.1 goals Churchill Brothers SC

Last 5 meetings

2016-04-16 Udinese Calcio 2–0 Churchill Brothers SC 2015-11-30 Churchill Brothers SC 2–1 Udinese Calcio 2015-03-08 Churchill Brothers SC 2–2 Udinese Calcio 2014-10-19 Udinese Calcio 2–2 Churchill Brothers SC

Recent Form

Udinese Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Apr	Churchill Brothers SC	H	2–0	W
09 Apr	FK Orenburg	A	1–0	W
03 Apr	Parma Calcio 1913	H	1–2	L
19 Mar	SS Lazio	A	1–1	D
12 Mar	SPAL 2013	H	2–1	W
06 Mar	FK Ural	H	3–1	W

Churchill Brothers SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Apr	Udinese Calcio	A	0–2	L
10 Apr	NEROCA FC	H	3–0	W
03 Apr	Genoa CFC	A	1–3	L
20 Mar	ACF Fiorentina	H	3–1	W
13 Mar	FK Ural	A	1–0	W
05 Mar	UC Sampdoria	H	3–1	W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Udinese Calcio are looking to make home advantage count against Churchill Brothers SC.
The points are shared — Udinese Calcio 2-0 Churchill Brothers SC. Honours even.

Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

Churchill Brothers SC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Udinese Calcio Form

2016-04-16 Udinese Calcio 2–0 Churchill Brothers SC W 2016-04-09 FK Orenburg 0–1 Udinese Calcio W 2016-04-03 Udinese Calcio 1–2 Parma Calcio 1913 L 2016-03-19 SS Lazio 1–1 Udinese Calcio D 2016-03-12 Udinese Calcio 2–1 SPAL 2013 W 2016-03-06 Udinese Calcio 3–1 FK Ural W

Churchill Brothers SC Form

2016-04-16 Udinese Calcio 2–0 Churchill Brothers SC L 2016-04-10 Churchill Brothers SC 3–0 NEROCA FC W 2016-04-03 Genoa CFC 3–1 Churchill Brothers SC L 2016-03-20 Churchill Brothers SC 3–1 ACF Fiorentina W 2016-03-13 FK Ural 0–1 Churchill Brothers SC W 2016-03-05 Churchill Brothers SC 3–1 UC Sampdoria W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.6 Udinese Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.06 Churchill Brothers SC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Udinese Calcio50% Draw26% Churchill Brothers SC24%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.66

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw

76%

Draw or Churchill Brothers SC

50%

Udinese Calcio or Churchill Brothers SC

74%

Half-Time Result

Udinese Calcio34% Draw47% Churchill Brothers SC19%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

1 – 0

10.2%

2 – 1

9.1%

0 – 0

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

6.4%

1 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

4.9%

3 – 0

4.6%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap	Udinese Calcio covers	Push	Churchill Brothers SC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	23%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet

35% ✗

Churchill Brothers SC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.