Swansea City AFC vs Nottingham Forest FC, FA Cup 2020-21 ROUND 4

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FA Cup · 2020-21

Swansea City AFC

5 – 1

Full Time

Nottingham Forest FC

Sat 23 Jan 2021 · 15:00 UTC Liberty Stadium HT 45+5' · FT 45+3'

Y 10' Carl Jenkinson

Y 69' Joe Worrall

Yan Dhanda 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Nottingham Forest FC — FA Cup at Liberty Stadium.

Swansea City AFC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Nottingham Forest FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Jonathan Hunt
Referee Kevin Friend
Referee Simon Beck
Referee Robert Madley

Head-to-Head

Swansea City AFC 9 games · Avg 3.0 goals Nottingham Forest FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-01-23 Swansea City AFC 5–1 Nottingham Forest FC 2020-11-29 Nottingham Forest FC 0–1 Swansea City AFC 2020-07-15 Nottingham Forest FC 2–2 Swansea City AFC 2019-09-14 Swansea City AFC 0–1 Nottingham Forest FC 2019-03-30 Nottingham Forest FC 2–1 Swansea City AFC

Recent Form

Swansea City AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Nottingham Forest FC	H	5–1	W
16 Jan	Barnsley FC	A	2–0	W
09 Jan	Stevenage FC	A	2–0	W
02 Jan	Watford FC	H	2–1	W
30 Dec	Reading FC	H	0–0	D
26 Dec	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	2–0	W

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Swansea City AFC	A	1–5	L
20 Jan	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–2	L
16 Jan	Millwall FC	H	3–1	W
09 Jan	Cardiff City FC	H	1–0	W
02 Jan	Preston North End FC	A	1–0	W
29 Dec	Stoke City FC	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

Callum Hudson-Odoi

2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Swansea City AFC host Nottingham Forest FC — let the battle begin!
5' Loic Mbe Soh is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Swansea City AFC so far.
7' A goal from the Wales international Liam Cullen! He fires home on 7 to make it 1-0!
10' Carl Jenkinson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 10.
15' Swansea City AFC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
20' Wayne Routledge makes way for Jamal Lowe at the 20 minute mark. A tactical switch from Swansea City AFC.
25' Nottingham Forest FC is showing some good football. However, Nottingham Forest FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
29' Matt Grimes adds to his 0 season tally! Swansea City AFC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
39' Tyler Blackett has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nottingham Forest FC that had 372 games and scored 433 goals.
46' A change in the Nottingham Forest FC ranks — Fouad Bachirou exits the field as Cafu enters on 46.
51' Jordan Smith has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
56' The France Anthony Knockaert breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 2-1!
61' Matt Grimes makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Swansea City AFC are in front.
65' A change in the Swansea City AFC ranks — Matt Grimes exits the field as Jay Fulton enters on 65.
66' Fresh legs for Swansea City AFC! Jake Bidwell comes on to replace Marc Guehi.
67' GOAL! Liam Cullen scores on 67. Assisted by Ryan Manning
69' Nottingham Forest FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 69.
74' A quiet spell here at Liberty Stadium. Nottingham Forest FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
76' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Connor Roberts is withdrawn and Jordan Garrick gets his opportunity.
81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
84' A stunning finish from Oliver Cooper — that came from absolutely nowhere!
89' Nottingham Forest FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
90' A moment of madness from Yan Dhanda on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Swansea City AFC will be frustrated.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Swansea City AFC 5-1 Nottingham Forest FC.

Lineups

Swansea City AFC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

9
Jamal Lowe ↑ 20'
10
Andre Ayew
6
Jay Fulton ↑ 65'
26
Kyle Naughton
24
Jake Bidwell ↑ 66'
44
Benjamin Cabango
41
Jordan Garrick ↑ 76'
42
Lewis Webb
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 66'

Coach Steve Cooper

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

Starting XI

16
Carl Jenkinson
13
Gaetan Bong ↓ Tyler Blackett 76'
28
Anthony Knockaert ↓ Alexander Mighten 76'
12
Jordan Smith
23
Joe Lolley
3
Tobias Figueiredo
15
Luke Freeman ↓ Guerrero 46'
33
Lyle Taylor
14
Fouad Bachirou ↓ Cafu 46'
4
Joe Worrall C
6
Loic Mbe Soh

Bench

24
Tyler Blackett ↑ 76'
7
Lewis Grabban
20
Michael Dawson
2
Cyrus Christie
11
Sammy Ameobi
30
Brice Samba
19
Guerrero ↑ 46'
18
Cafu ↑ 46'
17
Alexander Mighten ↑ 76'

Coach Chris Hughton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sam Surridge	3
Connor Roberts	3
Sammy Ameobi	2
Matt Grimes	2
Liam Cullen	2
Joel Piroe	1
Andre Ayew	1
Cyrus Christie	1

Head to Head

Swansea City AFC Form

2021-01-23 Swansea City AFC 5–1 Nottingham Forest FC W 2021-01-16 Barnsley FC 0–2 Swansea City AFC W 2021-01-09 Stevenage FC 0–2 Swansea City AFC W 2021-01-02 Swansea City AFC 2–1 Watford FC W 2020-12-30 Swansea City AFC 0–0 Reading FC D 2020-12-26 Queens Park Rangers FC 0–2 Swansea City AFC W

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2021-01-23 Swansea City AFC 5–1 Nottingham Forest FC L 2021-01-20 Nottingham Forest FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC L 2021-01-16 Nottingham Forest FC 3–1 Millwall FC W 2021-01-09 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC W 2021-01-02 Preston North End FC 0–1 Nottingham Forest FC W 2020-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.9 Swansea City AFC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.05 Nottingham Forest FC xG

I would bet for: Swansea City AFC to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Swansea City AFC57% Draw24% Nottingham Forest FC19%

Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.95

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw

80%

Draw or Nottingham Forest FC

43%

Swansea City AFC or Nottingham Forest FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Swansea City AFC40% Draw43% Nottingham Forest FC17%

Actual: Swansea City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

9.3%

1 – 0

9.3%

0 – 0

3 – 1

6.1%

3 – 0

5.8%

1 – 2

5.3%

2 – 2

0 – 1

4.7%

3 – 2

3.3%

4 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap	Swansea City AFC covers	Push	Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	17%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	23%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.