Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Arsenal FC, FA Cup 2020-21 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2020-21
Sat 23 Jan 2021 · 12:15 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45+1' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Arsenal FC — FA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Referee Neil Davies
  • Referee James Mainwaring
  • Referee David Coote
  • Referee Graham Scott
6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
19 Jan Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–0 W
16 Jan Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
04 Jan Liverpool FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec West Ham United FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Fulham FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Southampton FC A 0–1 L
18 Jan Newcastle United FC H 3–0 W
14 Jan Crystal Palace FC H 0–0 D
09 Jan Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
02 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC A 4–0 W
29 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at St. Mary's Stadium as Southampton FC face off against Arsenal FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Southampton FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Cedric suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 24' Arsenal FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Gabriel on 24.
  • 29' Bukayo Saka has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 8 goals to his name this season.
  • 34' Eddie Nketiah has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 39' Arsenal FC is showing some good football. However, Arsenal FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 49' It looks surprising Arsenal FC does not make any changes. Fraser Forster has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 54' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' Jack Stephens was booked on 56.
  • 58' Another change for Arsenal FC made on 58 minute. Mohamed El Neny leaves to be changed by Thomas Partey.
  • 63' Southampton FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Arsenal FC backline.
  • 68' A quiet spell here at St. Mary's Stadium. Arsenal FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 72' Alexandre Lacazette has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hector Bellerin on 72 minute.
  • 77' Arsenal FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
  • 78' Dan Nlundulu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Che Adams at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' Ryan Bertrand was booked on 83.
  • 85' Shane Long gets the nod from Southampton FC. He replaces Danny Ings and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Rob Holding has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 428 appearances.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Southampton FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC39% Draw31% Arsenal FC30%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Arsenal FC
61%
Southampton FC or Arsenal FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC24% Draw54% Arsenal FC22%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
3 – 0
2.4%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.