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Shonan Bellmare vs V-Varen Nagasaki, 2014

Primeira Liga 2014/15 · 2014
Sat 20 Sep 2014 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs V-Varen Nagasaki — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Shonan Bellmare 2.50
Draw 3.30
V-Varen Nagasaki 2.80

Head-to-Head

7
2
1
Shonan Bellmare 10 games · Avg 2.1 goals V-Varen Nagasaki

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–0 W
13 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–1 D
30 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 0–3 L
24 Aug FK Zalgiris Vilnius H 3–1 W
17 Aug CS Petrocub Hincesti A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Shonan Bellmare A 0–1 L
14 Sep CS Petrocub Hincesti H 2–0 W
31 Aug FK Sachcior Salihorsk A 2–1 W
23 Aug Qəbələ IK H 2–1 W
15 Aug Kashima Antlers A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.24 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare47% Draw30% V-Varen Nagasaki23%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
77%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
53%
Shonan Bellmare or V-Varen Nagasaki
70%

Half-Time Result

Shonan Bellmare30% Draw53% V-Varen Nagasaki17%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 2
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 24% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
44%
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.