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Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus, 2017

Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017
Sun 25 Sep 2016 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Shimizu S-Pulse 2.88
Draw 3.10
Nagoya Grampus 2.55

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 2–1 W
17 Sep FC Tōkyō A 4–1 W
11 Sep Vegalta Sendai H 0–0 D
26 Aug Kawasaki Frontale A 3–5 L
20 Aug Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
13 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–2 L
18 Sep Vissel Kobe H 3–1 W
11 Sep V-Varen Nagasaki A 1–0 W
28 Aug Kingstonian FC H 1–0 W
22 Aug Jubilo Iwata A 1–1 D
12 Aug Kashima Antlers H 1–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.13 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus 70% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse39% Draw30% Nagoya Grampus31%
Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
69%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
61%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse25% Draw52% Nagoya Grampus23%
Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
35%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.