Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse, 2016

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Primeira Liga 2016/17 · 2016

Kawasaki Frontale

5 – 3

Full Time

Shimizu S-Pulse

Fri 26 Aug 2016 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse — Primeira Liga .

Kawasaki Frontale 0 games · 0 pts
Shimizu S-Pulse 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Kawasaki Frontale 2.00

Draw 3.10

Shimizu S-Pulse 4.20

Head-to-Head

Kawasaki Frontale 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals Shimizu S-Pulse

Last 5 meetings

2016-08-26 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Shimizu S-Pulse 2016-03-13 Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2015-11-02 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale 2015-02-19 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale 2014-09-18 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse

Recent Form

Kawasaki Frontale

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Aug	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	5–3	W
20 Aug	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	2–0	W
14 Aug	Jubilo Iwata	H	0–1	L
14 May	PFK Levski Sofia	A	2–2	D
08 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	4–1	W
30 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–1	L

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	3–5	L
20 Aug	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L
13 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–1	D
14 May	FC Tōkyō	A	0–0	D
08 May	Gamba Osaka	H	1–4	L
30 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kawasaki Frontale is hosting Shimizu S-Pulse for another epic battle.
Full Time. Kawasaki Frontale beats Shimizu S-Pulse

Lineups

Kawasaki Frontale Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Leandro Damiao	4
Yu Kobayashi	4
Yasuto Wakizaka	4
Ryota Ohshima	3
Kengo Nakamura	3
Renato	2
Koya Kitagawa	2
Kengo Nakamura	2

Head to Head

Kawasaki Frontale Form

2016-08-26 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2016-08-20 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–2 Kawasaki Frontale W 2016-08-14 Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 Jubilo Iwata L 2016-05-14 PFK Levski Sofia 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale D 2016-05-08 Kawasaki Frontale 4–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2016-04-30 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Kawasaki Frontale L

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2016-08-26 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2016-08-20 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2016-08-13 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2016-05-14 FC Tōkyō 0–0 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2016-05-08 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–4 Gamba Osaka L 2016-04-30 Shonan Bellmare 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.83 Kawasaki Frontale xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.37 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kawasaki Frontale50% Draw24% Shimizu S-Pulse26%

Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.2

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Kawasaki Frontale or Draw

74%

Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse

50%

Kawasaki Frontale or Shimizu S-Pulse

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kawasaki Frontale35% Draw42% Shimizu S-Pulse23%

Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted

5 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.1%

2 – 1

2 – 0

6.8%

1 – 2

6.7%

1 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 0

5.7%

3 – 1

5.5%

0 – 1

4.8%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 2

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Kawasaki Frontale

Handicap	Kawasaki Frontale covers	Push	Shimizu S-Pulse covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	21%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	15%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.