Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 CONFERENCE FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Lumen Field.
- Seattle Sounders FC 13 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Corey Rockwell
- Referee Ismail Elfath
- Referee C. Blanchard
- Referee Joe Dickerson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Minnesota United FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Dec | FC Dallas | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Los Angeles FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–1 | W |
| 05 Nov | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Nov | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 04 Dec | Sporting Kansas City | A | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | FC Dallas | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Chicago Fire FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Oct | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Seattle Sounders FC | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #21 | Position | #23 |
| 24 | Points | 22 |
| 13 | Played | 15 |
| 7 / 3 / 3 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 17 | Scored | 18 |
| 11 | Conceded | 22 |
| +6 | GD | -4 |
| 1.85 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 54% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Seattle Sounders FC this season
Seattle Sounders FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Seattle Sounders FC are 21st (24 pts). Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Seattle Sounders FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Minnesota United FC get us underway at Lumen Field.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 9' The referee has no hesitation. Alex Roldan is booked for Seattle Sounders FC — Yellow card on 9.
- 14' The travelling Minnesota United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 19' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 27' Seattle Sounders FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 29' Emanuel Reynoso has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 29 minutes.
- 34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 39' Seattle Sounders FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
- 40' Hassani Dotson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Romain Metanire at the 40 minute mark.
- 45' It looks surprising Minnesota United FC does not make any changes. Osvaldo Alonso has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 53' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Raul Ruidiaz makes it 1-1.
- 58' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 62' Bakaye Dibassy has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 62.
- 67' Assisted by Emanuel Reynoso with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bakaye Dibassy makes no mistake. 1-2!
- 69' Minnesota United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kei Kamara is hanging Ethan Finlay on the field on 69 minute.
- 70' Seattle Sounders FC ring the changes. Nouhou Tolo has done his job and it is now time for Brad Smith to step up.
- 73' Will Bruin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Paulo on 73 minute.
- 75' Will Bruin adds to his 0 season tally! Seattle Sounders FC lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
- 77' The whistle greets Joevin Jones as he departs to be replaced by Gustav Svensson.
- 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Minnesota United FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 87' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yeimar Gomez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Minnesota United FC.
- 89' Raul Ruidiaz is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 90' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Aaron Schoenfeld on, Robin Lod off on 90 minutes.
- 3-2 the final result. Minnesota United FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Seattle Sounders FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Joao Paulo ↓ Will Bruin 73'
-
33
Joevin Jones ↓ Gustav Svensson 77'
- 10
- 9
- 24
- 7
-
5
Nouhou Tolo ↓ Brad Smith 70'
-
16
Alex Roldan ↓ Kelvin Leerdam 70'
- 13
- 28
- 27
Bench
- 94
-
4
Gustav Svensson ↑ 77'
- 29
- 30
-
2
Brad Smith ↑ 70'
-
18
Kelvin Leerdam ↑ 70'
-
17
Will Bruin ↑ 73'
- 8
- 3
Coach
Brian Schmetzer
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 19
-
17
Robin Lod ↓ Aaron Schoenfeld 90'
- 6
- 15
-
13
Ethan Finlay ↓ Kei Kamara 69'
- 7
- 10
- 8
- 77
- 97
Bench
- 30
- 5
- 94
- 14
- 4
-
16
Kei Kamara ↑ 69'
-
12
Aaron Schoenfeld ↑ 90'
-
31
Hassani Dotson ↑ 40'
- 11
Coach
Adrian Heath
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raul Ruidiaz | 6 |
| Joao Paulo | 3 |
| Robin Lod | 3 |
| Will Bruin | 3 |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | 2 |
| Nicolas Lodeiro | 2 |
| Albert Rusnak | 2 |
| Gustav Svensson | 2 |
Head to Head
Seattle Sounders FC Form
2020-12-08
Seattle Sounders FC
3–2
Minnesota United FC
W
2020-12-02
Seattle Sounders FC
1–0
FC Dallas
W
2020-11-25
Seattle Sounders FC
3–1
Los Angeles FC
W
2020-11-08
Seattle Sounders FC
4–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2020-11-05
Los Angeles Galaxy
1–1
Seattle Sounders FC
D
2020-11-02
Colorado Rapids SC
3–1
Seattle Sounders FC
L
Minnesota United FC Form
2020-12-08
Seattle Sounders FC
3–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-12-04
Sporting Kansas City
0–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2020-11-23
Minnesota United FC
3–0
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2020-11-08
Minnesota United FC
3–0
FC Dallas
W
2020-11-05
Minnesota United FC
2–2
Chicago Fire FC
D
2020-10-29
Minnesota United FC
2–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75
Seattle Sounders FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Seattle Sounders FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Seattle Sounders FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
45%
Seattle Sounders FC or Minnesota United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Seattle Sounders FC
| Handicap | Seattle Sounders FC covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Seattle Sounders FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.