SM Caen vs VfR Wormatia 08 Worms, 2016

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Ligue 1 2016/17 · 2016

SM Caen

2 – 0

Full Time

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms

Sat 15 Apr 2017 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs VfR Wormatia 08 Worms — Ligue 1 .

SM Caen 0 games · 0 pts
VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SM Caen 1.91

Draw 3.50

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 4.00

Head-to-Head

SM Caen 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals VfR Wormatia 08 Worms

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-15 SM Caen 2–0 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 2016-10-29 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 2–2 SM Caen 2016-02-06 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 1–1 SM Caen 2015-09-27 SM Caen 2–1 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 2015-01-31 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 0–0 SM Caen

Recent Form

SM Caen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	VfR Wormatia 08 Worms	H	2–0	W
08 Apr	AS Nancy-Lorraine	A	2–0	W
02 Apr	Amiens SC	H	0–1	L
18 Mar	Grenoble Foot 38	A	1–5	L
11 Mar	Red Star FC	H	2–3	L
04 Mar	AC Ajaccio	H	1–1	D

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Apr	SM Caen	A	0–2	L
08 Apr	ES Troyes AC	A	4–1	W
02 Apr	AS Nancy-Lorraine	H	1–0	W
18 Mar	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	A	3–2	W
12 Mar	FC Girondins de Bordeaux	H	1–2	L
05 Mar	FC Sochaux-Montbéliard	H	1–4	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SM Caen and VfR Wormatia 08 Worms get this one started.
Another three points for SM Caen.

Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

SM Caen Form

2017-04-15 SM Caen 2–0 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms W 2017-04-08 AS Nancy-Lorraine 0–2 SM Caen W 2017-04-02 SM Caen 0–1 Amiens SC L 2017-03-18 Grenoble Foot 38 5–1 SM Caen L 2017-03-11 SM Caen 2–3 Red Star FC L 2017-03-04 SM Caen 1–1 AC Ajaccio D

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms Form

2017-04-15 SM Caen 2–0 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms L 2017-04-08 ES Troyes AC 1–4 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms W 2017-04-02 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 1–0 AS Nancy-Lorraine W 2017-03-18 SV Wehen Wiesbaden 2–3 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms W 2017-03-12 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 1–2 FC Girondins de Bordeaux L 2017-03-05 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 1–4 FC Sochaux-Montbéliard L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.4 SM Caen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.2 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms xG

I would bet for: SM Caen or VfR Wormatia 08 Worms 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SM Caen45% Draw27% VfR Wormatia 08 Worms28%

Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.6

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw

72%

Draw or VfR Wormatia 08 Worms

55%

SM Caen or VfR Wormatia 08 Worms

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SM Caen29% Draw48% VfR Wormatia 08 Worms23%

Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.4%

0 – 0

9.5%

1 – 0

9.4%

2 – 1

8.4%

0 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 2

5.2%

2 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap	SM Caen covers	Push	VfR Wormatia 08 Worms covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	21%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	18%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

VfR Wormatia 08 Worms keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.