SM Caen vs Senegal, 2016
-
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 04 Feb Senegal H 2–1 W 27 Jan FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 1–5 L 21 Jan AJ Auxerre A 0–2 L 14 Jan US Orleans Loiret H 1–1 D 21 Dec Red Star FC A 0–1 L 17 Dec Grenoble Foot 38 H 4–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 04 Feb SM Caen A 1–2 L 28 Jan AS Nancy-Lorraine H 1–1 D 20 Jan GFC Ajaccio H 1–1 D 14 Jan SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 0–1 L 21 Dec FC Sochaux-Montbeliard H 1–2 L 17 Dec Valenciennes FC A 2–1 W Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
-
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Senegal Lineups
-
H2H
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
-
Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.55 SM Caen xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.96 Senegal xGI would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SM Caen winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.51Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 90% 10% ± 1.5 71% 29% ± 2.5 45% 55% ± 3.5 25% 75% ± 4.5 12% 88% Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw 78%Draw or Senegal 48%SM Caen or Senegal 73%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 13%1 – 0 11.6%0 – 0 10.2%2 – 0 9.5%2 – 1 Actual0 – 1 6.8%1 – 2 5.6%3 – 0 4.8%3 – 1 4.7%2 – 2 4.4%0 – 2 3.6%3 – 2 2.4%Asian Handicap — SM Caen
Handicap SM Caen covers Push Senegal covers -2.5 11% — 89% -2 11% 15% 74% -1.5 26% — 74% -1 26% 23% 51% -0.5 49% — 51% +0.5 78% — 22% +1 78% 14% 8% +1.5 92% — 8% +2 92% 6% 2% +2.5 98% — 2% Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet 39% ✓Senegal keeps clean sheet 22% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.