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SE Palmeiras vs SC Recife, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
5 1
Full Time
Wed 15 Nov 2017 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs SC Recife — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SE Palmeiras 1.59
Draw 4.47
SC Recife 6.30

Head-to-Head

8
1
2
SE Palmeiras 11 games · Avg 3.1 goals SC Recife

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Nov SC Recife H 5–1 W
12 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–0 W
09 Nov EC Vitoria A 1–3 L
05 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–3 L
30 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 2–2 D
22 Oct Grêmio FBPA A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Nov SE Palmeiras A 1–5 L
09 Nov Botafogo FR H 1–2 L
06 Nov Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
22 Oct CA Paranaense A 1–2 L
20 Oct Santos FC H 1–1 D
15 Oct CA Mineiro H 1–1 D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • SC Recife will have plenty to reflect on. SE Palmeiras were simply the better side today.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

SC Recife Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.34 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras66% Draw20% SC Recife14%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
86%
Draw or SC Recife
34%
SE Palmeiras or SC Recife
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras49% Draw39% SC Recife12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
5.3%
4 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% 55%
-1 45% 22% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
40%
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.