Thursday , 2 July 2026

SD Aucas vs Club Nacional, 2025 ROUND 1

Copa Libertadores · 2025
1 0
Full Time
Fri 9 Feb 2024 · 00:30 UTC Chillogallo HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SD Aucas vs Club Nacional — 0 at Chillogallo.

Match Details

  • Referee Piero Maza

Head-to-Head

1
1
SD Aucas 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Club Nacional

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Club Nacional H 1–0 W
29 Jun CR Flamengo A 0–4 L
08 Jun CD Nublense H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb SD Aucas A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Club Nacional this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SD Aucas to score. At the same time, Club Nacional does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Edgardo Orzuza has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luis Cano suffering a number of foals already.
  • 13' A meaty challenge results in booking for Juan Gonzalez on 13.
  • 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
  • 23' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 28' Edgardo Orzuza was booked on 28.
  • 33' It’s a booking for SD Aucas player. Mario Sanabria gets a Yellow card.
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 43' It looks like no one’s ball. Club Nacional is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' The Club Nacional manager makes a substitution. Edgardo Orzuza departs to be replaced by Eduardo Duarte.
  • 51' Club Nacional is showing some good football. However, Club Nacional are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 54' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Antony Silva.
  • 55' Time for substitution for Club Nacional. Ignacio Bailone is replaced by Rodrigo Arevalo.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Club Nacional that had 8 games and scored 0 goals.
  • 61' The SD Aucas manager makes a substitution. Luis Cano departs to be replaced by Ronald Briones.
  • 66' Club Nacional player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 71' Another change for SD Aucas made on 71 minute. Gustavo Caballero leaves to be changed by Cristhoper Zambrano.
  • 72' It’s a booking for Club Nacional player. Jordan Santacruz gets a Yellow card.
  • 77' It looks surprising SD Aucas does not make any changes. Blas Caceres has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 82' The travelling Club Nacional supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 83' Sergio Ojeda is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 85' SD Aucas is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jeison Medina on 85.
  • 86' Michael Carcelen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juan Gonzalez on 86 minute.
  • 90' It’s a booking for SD Aucas player. Luis Canga gets a Yellow card.
  • With this win, SD Aucas is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 SD Aucas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 Club Nacional xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SD Aucas50% Draw32% Club Nacional18%
Actual: SD Aucas win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

SD Aucas or Draw
82%
Draw or Club Nacional
50%
SD Aucas or Club Nacional
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SD Aucas30% Draw59% Club Nacional11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
1.8%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — SD Aucas

Handicap SD Aucas covers Push Club Nacional covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 27% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SD Aucas keeps clean sheet
59%
Club Nacional keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.