Sunday , 16 August 2026

SD Aucas vs Club Nacional, 2025 ROUND 1

Copa Libertadores · 2025
1 0
Full Time
Fri 9 Feb 2024 · 00:30 UTC Chillogallo HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SD Aucas vs Club Nacional — 0 at Chillogallo.

Match Details

  • Referee Piero Maza

Head-to-Head

1
1
SD Aucas 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Club Nacional

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Club Nacional H 1–0 W
29 Jun CR Flamengo A 0–4 L
08 Jun CD Nublense H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb SD Aucas A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Club Nacional this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between SD Aucas and Club Nacional is underway.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 13' The referee has no hesitation. Juan Gonzalez is booked for SD Aucas — Yellow card on 13.
  • 18' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 28' Edgardo Orzuza has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 28.
  • 33' SD Aucas receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 33.
  • 38' SD Aucas is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' Club Nacional manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Eduardo Duarte is hanging Edgardo Orzuza on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' SD Aucas are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Club Nacional's shape.
  • 54' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Antony Silva on 54 minutes.
  • 55' The Club Nacional bench stirs into life. Ignacio Bailone is withdrawn and Rodrigo Arevalo gets his opportunity.
  • 60' SD Aucas currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 61' Ronald Briones is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luis Cano at the 61 minute mark.
  • 66' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Eduardo Duarte.
  • 71' Cristhoper Zambrano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gustavo Caballero at the 71 minute mark.
  • 72' The referee calls foul for Jordan Santacruz. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 77' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 82' Mario Sanabria has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 83' A moment of madness from Sergio Ojeda on 83 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Club Nacional will be frustrated.
  • 85' What composure from Jeison Medina! The international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 86' SD Aucas ring the changes. Juan Gonzalez has done his job and it is now time for Michael Carcelen to step up.
  • 90' Luis Canga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SD Aucas players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 SD Aucas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 Club Nacional xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SD Aucas50% Draw32% Club Nacional18%
Actual: SD Aucas win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

SD Aucas or Draw
82%
Draw or Club Nacional
50%
SD Aucas or Club Nacional
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SD Aucas30% Draw59% Club Nacional11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
1.8%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — SD Aucas

Handicap SD Aucas covers Push Club Nacional covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 27% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SD Aucas keeps clean sheet
59%
Club Nacional keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.