Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SD Aucas vs Club Nacional, 2025 ROUND 1

Copa Libertadores · 2025
1 – 0
Full Time
Fri 9 Feb 2024 · 00:30 UTC Chillogallo HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SD Aucas vs Club Nacional — 0 at Chillogallo.

Match Details

  • Referee Piero Maza

Head-to-Head

1
1
SD Aucas 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Club Nacional

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Club Nacional H 1–0 W
29 Jun CR Flamengo A 0–4 L
08 Jun CD Nublense H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb SD Aucas A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Club Nacional this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Chillogallo!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Club Nacional that had 8 games and scored 0 goals.
  • 13' Juan Gonzalez was booked on 13.
  • 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alan Garcia suffering a number of foals already.
  • 23' SD Aucas is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 28' A moment of madness from Edgardo Orzuza on 28 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Club Nacional will be frustrated.
  • 33' The referee shows SD Aucas player a Yellow card on 33.
  • 38' Luis Canga has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 43' Blas Caceres has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' Club Nacional ring the changes. Edgardo Orzuza has done his job and it is now time for Eduardo Duarte to step up.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Carlos Rolon made 4 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 54' It’s a booking for Club Nacional player. Antony Silva gets a Yellow card.
  • 55' The Club Nacional manager makes a substitution. Ignacio Bailone departs to be replaced by Rodrigo Arevalo.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' A change in the SD Aucas ranks — Luis Cano exits the field as Ronald Briones enters on 61.
  • 66' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Eduardo Duarte on 66 minutes.
  • 71' SD Aucas make a change. Gustavo Caballero trudges off to be replaced by Cristhoper Zambrano on 71 minutes.
  • 72' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jordan Santacruz.
  • 77' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 82' Orlando Gaona Lugo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Club Nacional tonight.
  • 83' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Sergio Ojeda.
  • 85' Jeison Medina is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 86' It is a substitution in SD Aucas team. Juan Gonzalez is replaced by Michael Carcelen on 86 minute.
  • 90' Luis Canga is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Club Nacional.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 SD Aucas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 Club Nacional xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SD Aucas50% Draw32% Club Nacional18%
Actual: SD Aucas win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

SD Aucas or Draw
82%
Draw or Club Nacional
50%
SD Aucas or Club Nacional
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SD Aucas30% Draw59% Club Nacional11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
1.8%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — SD Aucas

Handicap SD Aucas covers Push Club Nacional covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 27% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SD Aucas keeps clean sheet
59% ✓
Club Nacional keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.