SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin, 2016

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Primera Division 2016/17 · 2016

SC Freiburg

2 – 1

Full Time

1. FC Union Berlin

Mon 19 Dec 2016 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin — La Liga .

SC Freiburg 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Union Berlin 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SC Freiburg 1.83

Draw 3.50

1. FC Union Berlin 4.33

Head-to-Head

SC Freiburg 23 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FC Union Berlin

Last 5 meetings

2016-12-19 SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2016-05-01 SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2015-12-30 1. FC Union Berlin 0–1 SC Freiburg 2015-03-14 1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 SC Freiburg 2014-10-18 SC Freiburg 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin

Recent Form

SC Freiburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	H	2–1	W
11 Dec	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	A	0–1	L
04 Dec	Aizawl FC	H	3–1	W
28 Nov	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	A	1–3	L
20 Nov	Gokulam Kerala FC	H	1–0	W
06 Nov	FC Energie Cottbus	A	0–0	D

1. FC Union Berlin

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Dec	SC Freiburg	A	1–2	L
11 Dec	Hertha BSC	H	0–3	L
04 Dec	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	A	3–3	D
27 Nov	Europa FC	H	3–1	W
19 Nov	Aizawl FC	A	0–1	L
06 Nov	Holstein Kiel	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
Full Time. SC Freiburg beats 1. FC Union Berlin

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Vincenzo Grifo	5
Sheraldo Becker	4
Lucas Holer	4
Robert Andrich	2
Grischa Promel	2
Christopher Trimmel	2
Robin Koch	2
Sven Michel	2

Head to Head

SC Freiburg Form

2016-12-19 SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Union Berlin W 2016-12-11 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 1–0 SC Freiburg L 2016-12-04 SC Freiburg 3–1 Aizawl FC W 2016-11-28 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3–1 SC Freiburg L 2016-11-20 SC Freiburg 1–0 Gokulam Kerala FC W 2016-11-06 FC Energie Cottbus 0–0 SC Freiburg D

1. FC Union Berlin Form

2016-12-19 SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Union Berlin L 2016-12-11 1. FC Union Berlin 0–3 Hertha BSC L 2016-12-04 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 3–3 1. FC Union Berlin D 2016-11-27 1. FC Union Berlin 3–1 Europa FC W 2016-11-19 Aizawl FC 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin L 2016-11-06 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 Holstein Kiel W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.63 SC Freiburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.03 1. FC Union Berlin xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Freiburg54% Draw25% 1. FC Union Berlin21%

Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.66

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw

79%

Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin

46%

SC Freiburg or 1. FC Union Berlin

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SC Freiburg35% Draw46% 1. FC Union Berlin19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 0

10.4%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

0 – 0

8.9%

0 – 1

6.2%

1 – 2

5.8%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 0

4.8%

2 – 2

4.8%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap	SC Freiburg covers	Push	1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	23%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.