Sunday , 16 August 2026

Rochdale AFC vs Oxford United FC, League One 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2020-21
Tue 26 Jan 2021 · 19:00 UTC Crown Oil Arena HT 45+4' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Oxford United FC H 3–4 L
23 Jan Gillingham FC A 2–2 D
19 Jan Doncaster Rovers FC A 0–1 L
16 Jan Wigan Athletic FC H 3–3 D
12 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 4–4 D
09 Jan Crewe Alexandra FC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Rochdale AFC A 4–3 W
23 Jan Bristol Rovers FC H 2–0 W
02 Jan Burton Albion FC A 5–1 W
29 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec AFC Wimbledon H 2–0 W
15 Dec Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Rochdale AFC gets underway.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Elliott Moore is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Oxford United FC.
  • 6' Poor challenge from Matt Done. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 11' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Brian Barry-Murphy will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 12' A goal from the Ghana international Daniel Agyei! He fires home on 12 to make it 0-1!
  • 17' A quiet spell here at Crown Oil Arena. Rochdale AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 22' Magnificent from Matt Done! That is 6 goals in 140 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 27' Rochdale AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Oxford United FC backline.
  • 30' The deadlock is broken! Stephen Humphrys gets on the scoresheet on 30 minutes.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josh Ruffels, as he is very good at scoring at Crown Oil Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' Oxford United FC ring the changes. Jamie Hanson has done his job and it is now time for James Henry to step up.
  • 48' The referee shows Rochdale AFC player a Yellow card on 48.
  • 49' What composure from Elliott Moore! The England international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 54' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Alex Newby. He replaces Kwadwo Baah on 59 minute.
  • 60' The referee has no hesitation. Cameron Brannagan is booked for Oxford United FC — Yellow card on 60.
  • 62' Against the run of play, James Henry has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 64' Brilliant from the ! Matthew Lund makes it 3-3 with a superb finish on 64.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Anthony Forde comes on to replace Daniel Agyei.
  • 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oxford United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 77' The referee shows Rochdale AFC player a Yellow card on 77.
  • 82' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 87' Rochdale AFC is showing some good football. However, Rochdale AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Oxford United FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 Rochdale AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rochdale AFC28% Draw22% Oxford United FC50%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Rochdale AFC or Draw
50%
Draw or Oxford United FC
72%
Rochdale AFC or Oxford United FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rochdale AFC24% Draw37% Oxford United FC39%
Actual: Rochdale AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
8%
1 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Rochdale AFC

Handicap Rochdale AFC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 8% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 19% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Rochdale AFC keeps clean sheet
11%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.