Sunday , 15 November 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs KF Shkendija 79, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Tue 12 Aug 2025 · 16:00 UTC Tofig Bakhramov HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs KF Shkendija 79 — Champions League Q at Tofig Bakhramov.

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
18 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug KF Shkendija 79 H 5–1 W
05 Aug KF Shkendija 79 A 1–0 W
30 Jul Shelbourne FC H 1–0 W
23 Jul Shelbourne FC A 3–0 W
30 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP A 0–3 L
23 Jan FCSB Bukarest H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Aug Qarabag Agdam FK H 0–1 L
30 Jul FCSB Bukarest A 2–1 W
22 Jul FCSB Bukarest H 1–0 W
15 Jul The New Saints FC H 2–1 W
08 Jul The New Saints FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Qarabağ Ağdam FK gets underway.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Brilliant from the ! Fabrice Tamba makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 10.
  • 15' KF Shkendija 79 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 16' The Albania Klisman Cake breaks the deadlock on 16 minutes. 0-2!
  • 18' Against the run of play, Kady Borges has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Qarabağ Ağdam FK and KF Shkendija 79 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 28' The 26-year-old Mateusz Kochalski has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 33' The Azerbaijan Nəriman Axundzadə breaks the deadlock on 33 minutes. 0-4!
  • 35' The Montenegro Marko Jankovic breaks the deadlock on 35 minutes. 0-5!
  • 35' It’s a booking for KF Shkendija 79 player. Kamer Qaka gets a card.
  • 40' Reshat Ramadani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 45' Imran Fetai needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 48' KF Shkendija 79 receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
  • 53' Kamer Qaka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for KF Shkendija 79 tonight.
  • 58' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Qarabağ Ağdam FK and KF Shkendija 79 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 59' Assisted by Elvin Cəfərquliyev with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leandro Andrade makes no mistake. 0-6!
  • 62' Another substitution for KF Shkendija 79 to replace Besart Ibraimi by Fiton Ademi on 62 minute.
  • 63' Samy Mmaee has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheus Silva on 63 minute.
  • 68' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 70' Another change for Qarabag Agdam FK made on 70 minute. Nəriman Axundzadə leaves to be changed by Musa Qurbanli.
  • 74' Florent Ramadani gets the nod from KF Shkendija 79. He replaces Fabrice Tamba and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' The Qarabag Agdam FK bench stirs into life. Leandro Andrade is withdrawn and Hikmət Cəbrayilzadə gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Qarabağ Ağdam FK are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 83' It is a substitution in KF Shkendija 79 team. Arbin Zejnulai is replaced by Lorik Jakupi on 83 minute.
  • 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 KF Shkendija 79 xG
I would bet for: Qarabag Agdam FK to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK59% Draw23% KF Shkendija 7918%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
81%
Draw or KF Shkendija 79
41%
Qarabag Agdam FK or KF Shkendija 79
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabag Agdam FK41% Draw42% KF Shkendija 7917%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push KF Shkendija 79 covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
KF Shkendija 79 keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.