Wednesday , 23 September 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs Ferencvárosi TC, Champions League Q 2025 PLAYOFFS

Wed 27 Aug 2025 · 16:45 UTC Tofig Bakhramov HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs Ferencvárosi TCChampions League Q at Tofig Bakhramov.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game 7.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Ferencvárosi TC H 2–3 L
19 Aug Ferencvárosi TC A 3–1 W
12 Aug KF Shkendija 79 H 5–1 W
05 Aug KF Shkendija 79 A 1–0 W
30 Jul Shelbourne FC H 1–0 W
23 Jul Shelbourne FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Qarabag Agdam FK A 3–2 W
19 Aug Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–3 L
12 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 3–0 W
06 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 0–0 D
30 Jul FC Noah H 4–3 W
22 Jul FC Noah A 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Ferencvarosi TC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Qarabağ Ağdam FK side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Qarabağ Ağdam FK must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 12' What a moment for Lenny Joseph! That strike on 12 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 22' Qarabağ Ağdam FK are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' The deadlock is broken! Leandro Andrade gets on the scoresheet on 25 minutes.
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 37' That looks like a foul for a card for Pedro Bicalho.
  • 42' Controversy at the stadium! Gavriel Kanichowsky argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 45' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Abdellah Zoubir makes it 0-3.
  • 46' The Ferencvarosi TC manager makes a substitution. Bence Otvos departs to be replaced by Cadu.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Zsombor Gruber, as he is very good at scoring at Tofig Bakhramov with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 53' It’s gonna be a card for Kevin Medina.
  • 55' Barnabas Varga has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 55 minutes.
  • 56' A meaty challenge results in booking for Naby Keita on 56.
  • 61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Qarabağ Ağdam FK and Ferencvarosi TC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 66' A quiet spell here at Tofig Bakhramov. Qarabağ Ağdam FK seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 69' The Qarabag Agdam FK bench stirs into life. Leandro Andrade is withdrawn and Emmanuel Addai gets his opportunity.
  • 73' The Ferencvarosi TC manager makes a substitution. Naby Keita departs to be replaced by Alex Toth.
  • 74' Zsombor Gruber is replacing Lenny Joseph for the Ferencvarosi TC side.
  • 79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
  • 81' The referee has no hesitation. Matheus Silva is booked for Qarabag Agdam FK — card on 81.
  • 82' The deadlock is broken! Alex Toth gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
  • 84' The Qarabag Agdam FK manager makes a substitution. Elvin Cəfərquliyev departs to be replaced by Toral Bayramov.
  • 89' Qarabağ Ağdam FK are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Ferencvarosi TC's shape.
  • 90' Ibrahim Cisse picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Qarabag Agdam FK make a change. Nəriman Axundzadə trudges off to be replaced by Musa Qurbanli on 90 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. Qarabağ Ağdam FK and Ferencvarosi TC share the spoils 2-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Ferencvárosi TC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabag Agdam FK45% Draw26% Ferencvárosi TC29%
Actual: Ferencvárosi TC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
71%
Draw or Ferencvárosi TC
55%
Qarabag Agdam FK or Ferencvárosi TC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabag Agdam FK33% Draw43% Ferencvárosi TC24%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push Ferencvárosi TC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
26%
Ferencvárosi TC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.