Wednesday , 11 November 2026

Ferencvárosi TC vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Champions League Q 2025 PLAYOFFS

Tue 19 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Groupama Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ferencvárosi TC vs Qarabag Agdam FK — Champions League Q at Groupama Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro
10 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–3 L
12 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 3–0 W
06 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 0–0 D
30 Jul FC Noah H 4–3 W
22 Jul FC Noah A 2–1 W
20 Feb FC Viktoria Plzeň A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Ferencvárosi TC A 3–1 W
12 Aug KF Shkendija 79 H 5–1 W
05 Aug KF Shkendija 79 A 1–0 W
30 Jul Shelbourne FC H 1–0 W
23 Jul Shelbourne FC A 3–0 W
30 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP A 0–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Ferencvarosi TC is hosting Qarabag Agdam FK for another epic battle.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ferencvarosi TC and Qarabag Agdam FK are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' Ferencvarosi TC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' The 31-year-old Callum O'Dowda has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Ferencvarosi TC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 29' The Hungary Barnabas Varga breaks the deadlock on 29 minutes. 1-0!
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Musa Qurbanli, as he is very good at scoring at Groupama Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. Ferencvarosi TC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 44' Nəriman Axundzadə needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 46' Kristoffer Zachariassen gets the nod from Ferencvarosi TC. He replaces Bence Otvos and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 50' GOAL! Marko Jankovic scores on 50. Assisted by Leandro Andrade
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 58' Qarabag Agdam FK ring the changes. Leandro Andrade has done his job and it is now time for Emmanuel Addai to step up.
  • 63' Ibrahim Cisse has so much to prove this time. He replaces Stefan Gartenmann on 63 minute.
  • 67' Kevin Medina has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 67 minutes.
  • 69' The referee has no hesitation. Matheus Silva is booked for Qarabag Agdam FK — card on 69.
  • 70' Aleksandar Pesic gets the nod from Ferencvarosi TC. He replaces Barnabas Varga and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 75 minutes.
  • 77' The whistle greets Gavriel Kanichowsky as he departs to be replaced by Jonathan Levi.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Musa Qurbanli. He replaces Nəriman Axundzadə on 81 minute.
  • 85' Assisted by Kady Borges with the perfectly-timed delivery and Musa Qurbanli makes no mistake. 1-3!
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gabor Szalai on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Another substitution for Qarabag Agdam FK to replace Matheus Silva by Daniel on 90 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Ferencvarosi TC 1-3 Qarabag Agdam FK.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 Ferencvárosi TC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for: Ferencvárosi TC or Qarabag Agdam FK 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ferencvárosi TC32% Draw27% Qarabag Agdam FK41%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Ferencvárosi TC or Draw
58%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
68%
Ferencvárosi TC or Qarabag Agdam FK
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ferencvárosi TC25% Draw44% Qarabag Agdam FK31%
Actual: Ferencvárosi TC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Ferencvárosi TC

Handicap Ferencvárosi TC covers Push Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Ferencvárosi TC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.