Wednesday , 22 July 2026

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs Chelsea FC, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 5 Nov 2025 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1 games · Avg 4.0 goals Chelsea FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Chelsea FC H 2–2 D
22 Oct Athletic Club A 1–3 L
01 Oct FC København H 2–0 W
16 Sep Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 3–2 W
27 Aug Ferencvarosi TC H 2–3 L
19 Aug Ferencvarosi TC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Qarabağ Ağdam FK A 2–2 D
01 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–0 W
25 Oct Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L
22 Oct AFC Ajax H 5–1 W
18 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 3–0 W
04 Oct Liverpool FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Qarabağ Ağdam FK Chelsea FC
#22 Position #6
10 Points 16
8 Played 8
3 / 1 / 4 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 2
13 Scored 17
21 Conceded 10
-8 GD +7
1.25 PPG 2.00
38% Win % 63%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
Qarabağ Ağdam FK this season
30% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Qarabağ Ağdam FK are 22nd (10 pts). Chelsea FC are 6th (16 pts).

Top Scorers (This Season)

Qarabağ Ağdam FK
Camilo Duran 5 G 2 A
Leandro Andrade 3 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Qarabağ Ağdam FK Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 Qarabağ Ağdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabağ Ağdam FK28% Draw22% Chelsea FC50%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Qarabağ Ağdam FK or Draw
50%
Draw or Chelsea FC
72%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK or Chelsea FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabağ Ağdam FK20% Draw36% Chelsea FC44%
Actual: Qarabağ Ağdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 3
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 4
4.3%
0 – 1
4%
2 – 4
3.4%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Qarabağ Ağdam FK

Handicap Qarabağ Ağdam FK covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 6% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 12% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 20% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 17% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

Qarabağ Ağdam FK keeps clean sheet
9%
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.