Thursday , 2 July 2026

Poole Town FC vs Horsham FC, FA Cup 2018-19 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND REPLAYS

FA Cup · 2018-19
Tue 9 Oct 2018 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Poole Town FC vs Horsham FCFA Cup .

Head-to-Head

1
1
Poole Town FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Horsham FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Horsham FC H 2–1 W
06 Oct Horsham FC A 1–1 D
22 Sep Cinderford Town AFC H 3–0 W
08 Sep Shaftesbury FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Poole Town FC A 1–2 L
06 Oct Poole Town FC H 1–1 D
22 Sep Heybridge Swifts FC H 4–3 W
12 Sep Corinthian FC H 5–0 W
08 Sep Corinthian FC A 1–1 D
25 Aug Carshalton Athletic FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Poole Town FC Lineups

Horsham FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 Poole Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Horsham FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Poole Town FC51% Draw27% Horsham FC22%
Actual: Poole Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Poole Town FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Horsham FC
49%
Poole Town FC or Horsham FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Poole Town FC34% Draw48% Horsham FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Poole Town FC

Handicap Poole Town FC covers Push Horsham FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Poole Town FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Horsham FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.