Wednesday , 23 September 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Saint-Etienne, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 12 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Parc des Princes 47,580 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ousmane Dembele 13' 1–0
Ousmane Dembele pen 23' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Saint-EtienneLigue 1 at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Mathieu Vernice
  • Assistant 1 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)
  • Assistant 2 Julien Garrigues (France)
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game 15.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan AS Saint-Etienne H 2–1 W
18 Dec AS Monaco FC A 4–2 W
15 Dec Olympique Lyonnais H 3–1 W
10 Dec FC Red Bull Salzburg A 3–0 W
06 Dec AJ Auxerre A 0–0 D
30 Nov FC Nantes H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–2 L
04 Jan Stade de Reims H 3–1 W
13 Dec Toulouse FC A 1–2 L
08 Dec Olympique de Marseille H 0–2 L
30 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–5 L
23 Nov Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G
Marquinhos 3 G
Vitinha 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 AS Saint-Etienne xG
I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC59% Draw23% AS Saint-Etienne18%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
82%
Draw or AS Saint-Etienne
41%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or AS Saint-Etienne
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Paris Saint-Germain FC40% Draw43% AS Saint-Etienne17%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push AS Saint-Etienne covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
36%
AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.