Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Padova Calcio vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Tue 3 Mar 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Padova Calcio vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Mario Perri (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Padova Calcio 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Spezia Calcio H 2–2 D
28 Feb Modena FC 2018 A 2–1 W
21 Feb SSC Bari H 1–1 D
14 Feb UC Sampdoria A 0–1 L
10 Feb Carrarese Calcio H 1–0 W
07 Feb SS Juve Stabia A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Padova Calcio A 2–2 D
28 Feb AC Reggiana H 0–1 L
21 Feb AC Cesena A 3–2 W
15 Feb Frosinone Calcio H 0–2 L
11 Feb SSC Bari A 0–0 D
07 Feb ACD Virtus Entella H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Padova Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Padova Calcio
Pietro Fusi 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at as Padova Calcio face off against Spezia Calcio in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Spezia Calcio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Padova Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Padova Calcio or Spezia Calcio 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Padova Calcio42% Draw27% Spezia Calcio31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Padova Calcio or Draw
69%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
58%
Padova Calcio or Spezia Calcio
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Padova Calcio28% Draw47% Spezia Calcio25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Padova Calcio

Handicap Padova Calcio covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.