Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Spartak Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Mon 2 Mar 2026 · 12:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs FK Spartak MoskvaRFPL .

Match Details

  • Referee Evgeniy Bulanov (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 2–3 L
07 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 0–0 D
21 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–3 L
08 Nov FK Rostov H 0–1 L
02 Nov FK Orenburg A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar PFK Sochi A 3–2 W
06 Dec FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
29 Nov FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–1 L
22 Nov PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–0 W
09 Nov RFK Akhmat Grozny A 2–1 W
02 Nov FK Krasnodar A 1–2 L

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Spartak Moskva
#16 Position #4
22 Points 52
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 15 / 7 / 8
29 Scored 47
60 Conceded 39
-31 GD +8
0.73 PPG 1.73
20% Win % 50%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Spartak Moskva are 4th (52 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

FK Spartak Moskva Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.2 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 FK Spartak Moskva xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi23% Draw24% FK Spartak Moskva53%
Actual: FK Spartak Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
47%
Draw or FK Spartak Moskva
77%
PFK Sochi or FK Spartak Moskva
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi18% Draw41% FK Spartak Moskva41%
Actual: FK Spartak Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Spartak Moskva covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
13%
FK Spartak Moskva keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.