PAE AEK vs AFC Ajax, 2016

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Championship 2016/17 · 2016

PAE AEK

1 – 2

Full Time

AFC Ajax

Sat 1 Oct 2016 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PAE AEK vs AFC Ajax — Championship .

PAE AEK 0 games · 0 pts
AFC Ajax 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

PAE AEK 3.00

Draw 3.40

AFC Ajax 2.50

Head-to-Head

PAE AEK 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals AFC Ajax

Last 5 meetings

2016-10-01 PAE AEK 1–2 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

PAE AEK

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Oct	AFC Ajax	H	1–2	L
27 Sep	Real Madrid CF	A	1–2	L
24 Sep	FK Spartak Moskva	H	3–1	W
17 Sep	FK Kukesi	A	2–0	W
13 Sep	PAOK FC	H	0–4	L
10 Sep	FC Basel 1893	H	1–1	D

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Oct	PAE AEK	A	2–1	W
28 Sep	FK Kukesi	A	3–4	L
24 Sep	FC Basel 1893	H	3–1	W
17 Sep	KF Valur	A	2–1	W
13 Sep	Real Madrid CF	H	2–1	W
10 Sep	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	H	3–2	W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. PAE AEK host AFC Ajax — let the battle begin!
It finishes all square. PAE AEK and AFC Ajax share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

PAE AEK Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chuba Akpom	2
Nicolas Tagliafico	2
Nicolas Tagliafico	2
Dusan Tadic	2
Kenneth Taylor	1
Levi Garcia	1
Donny van de Beek	1
Donny van de Beek	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.39 PAE AEK xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.62 AFC Ajax xG

I would bet for: PAE AEK or AFC Ajax 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

PAE AEK32% Draw27% AFC Ajax41%

Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

PAE AEK or Draw

59%

Draw or AFC Ajax

68%

PAE AEK or AFC Ajax

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

PAE AEK25% Draw44% AFC Ajax31%

Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.4%

0 – 1

7.2%

0 – 0

6.7%

0 – 2

6.4%

1 – 0

2 – 2

2 – 0

4.7%

1 – 3

4.7%

3 – 1

3.4%

0 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — PAE AEK

Handicap	PAE AEK covers	Push	AFC Ajax covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	17%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	20%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

PAE AEK keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.