Sunday , 15 November 2026

Oxford United FC vs Cheltenham Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Kassam Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Murphy 45+3' 1–0
1–1 80' Will Ferry
Greg Leigh 88' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Cheltenham Town FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Edwards
  • Assistant 1 Garry Maskell
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
02 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–2 L
24 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 1–2 L
20 Feb Northampton Town FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
13 Feb Wigan Athletic FC H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Oxford United FC A 1–2 L
05 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 1–3 L
02 Mar Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
27 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
23 Feb Wigan Athletic FC A 1–1 D
17 Feb Port Vale FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
9/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC
Mark Harris 6 G 1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor 4 G 2 A
Cameron Brannagan 2 G
Ciaron Brown 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Kassam Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The 27-year-old Aidan Keena has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' The travelling Cheltenham Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' The referee has no hesitation. Liam Sercombe is booked for Cheltenham Town FC — card on 20.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oxford United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Darrell Clarke will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Oxford United FC in their trying to find a way past Cheltenham Town FC's compact .
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Oxford United FC and Cheltenham Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 48' GOAL! Josh Murphy scores on 45. Assisted by Cameron Brannagan
  • 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josh Harrop made 145 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 57' The whistle greets Joe Nuttall as he departs to be replaced by Jordan Thomas.
  • 58' Josh Harrop is replacing Liam Sercombe for the Cheltenham Town FC side.
  • 61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Curtis Davies on 61.
  • 66' Liam Sercombe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Oxford United FC tonight.
  • 67' Oxford United FC ring the changes. Mark Harris has done his job and it is now time for Will Goodwin to step up.
  • 72' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 73' Poor challenge from Josh Harrop. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 76' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ciaron Brown on 76 minutes.
  • 80' Will Ferry is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 83' Elliot Bonds is ready to make an impact after coming on for Liam Kinsella at the 83 minute mark.
  • 88' Greg Leigh puts Oxford United FC on the lead.
  • 90' The Oxford United FC bench stirs into life. Josh Murphy is withdrawn and Billy Bodin gets his opportunity.
  • It finishes all square. Oxford United FC and Cheltenham Town FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Cheltenham Town FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC50% Draw26% Cheltenham Town FC24%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Cheltenham Town FC
50%
Oxford United FC or Cheltenham Town FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC33% Draw47% Cheltenham Town FC20%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.