Thursday , 2 July 2026

Oxford United FC vs Cheltenham Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Kassam Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Murphy 45+3' 1–0
1–1 80' Will Ferry
Greg Leigh 88' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Cheltenham Town FCLeague One at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Edwards
  • Assistant 1 Garry Maskell
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
02 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–2 L
24 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 1–2 L
20 Feb Northampton Town FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
13 Feb Wigan Athletic FC H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Oxford United FC A 1–2 L
05 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 1–3 L
02 Mar Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
27 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
23 Feb Wigan Athletic FC A 1–1 D
17 Feb Port Vale FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Oxford United FC and Cheltenham Town FC is underway.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Fin Stevens, as he is very good at scoring at Kassam Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cheltenham Town FC that had 145 games and scored 175 goals.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Owen Dale made 96 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Liam Sercombe was booked on 20.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Cameron Brannagan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 67 Yellow cards this season.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oxford United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 48' GOAL! Josh Murphy scores on 45. Assisted by Cameron Brannagan
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 57' Time for substitution for Cheltenham Town FC. Joe Nuttall is replaced by Jordan Thomas.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Cheltenham Town FC. Liam Sercombe is replaced by Josh Harrop.
  • 61' The referee calls foul for Curtis Davies. He receives a card.
  • 66' It looks like no one’s ball. Oxford United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 67' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Will Goodwin is hanging Mark Harris on the field on 67 minute.
  • 72' Oxford United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 73' It’s gonna be a card for Josh Harrop.
  • 76' Oxford United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
  • 80' GOAL! Will Ferry scores on 80. Assisted by Liam Kinsella
  • 83' The Cheltenham Town FC manager makes a substitution. Liam Kinsella departs to be replaced by Elliot Bonds.
  • 88' Greg Leigh puts Oxford United FC on the lead.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. Josh Murphy is replaced by Billy Bodin.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Cheltenham Town FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC50% Draw26% Cheltenham Town FC24%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Cheltenham Town FC
50%
Oxford United FC or Cheltenham Town FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC33% Draw47% Cheltenham Town FC20%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.