Sunday , 16 August 2026

Oxford United FC vs Cheltenham Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Kassam Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Murphy 45+3' 1–0
1–1 80' Will Ferry
Greg Leigh 88' 2–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
02 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–2 L
24 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 1–2 L
20 Feb Northampton Town FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
13 Feb Wigan Athletic FC H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Oxford United FC A 1–2 L
05 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 1–3 L
02 Mar Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
27 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
23 Feb Wigan Athletic FC A 1–1 D
17 Feb Port Vale FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Oxford United FC launch into their encounter with Cheltenham Town FC.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Oxford United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jamie Cumming suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Liam Sercombe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 20.
  • 25' Oxford United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cheltenham Town FC backline.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' Liam Sercombe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Oxford United FC tonight.
  • 40' It looks surprising Oxford United FC does not make any changes. Owen Dale has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 48' Against the run of play, Josh Murphy has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 53' The 27-year-old Mark Harris has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 57' Jordan Thomas gets the nod from Cheltenham Town FC. He replaces Joe Nuttall and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 58' Josh Harrop has so much to prove this time. He replaces Liam Sercombe on 58 minute.
  • 61' The referee calls foul for Curtis Davies. He receives a card.
  • 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Bradbury made 10 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Mark Harris is replaced by Will Goodwin on 67 minute.
  • 72' Cheltenham Town FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Josh Harrop on 73 minutes.
  • 76' Ciaron Brown has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 76.
  • 80' The deadlock is broken! Will Ferry gets on the scoresheet on 80 minutes.
  • 83' Elliot Bonds gets the nod from Cheltenham Town FC. He replaces Liam Kinsella and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Greg Leigh doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 90' Billy Bodin is replacing Josh Murphy for the Oxford United FC side.
  • Full Time. Oxford United FC beats Cheltenham Town FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Cheltenham Town FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC50% Draw26% Cheltenham Town FC24%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Cheltenham Town FC
50%
Oxford United FC or Cheltenham Town FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC33% Draw47% Cheltenham Town FC20%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.