Thursday , 10 September 2026

Oxford United FC vs Cheltenham Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Kassam Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Murphy 45+3' 1–0
1–1 80' Will Ferry
Greg Leigh 88' 2–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
02 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–2 L
24 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 1–2 L
20 Feb Northampton Town FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
13 Feb Wigan Athletic FC H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Oxford United FC A 1–2 L
05 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 1–3 L
02 Mar Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
27 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
23 Feb Wigan Athletic FC A 1–1 D
17 Feb Port Vale FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC
Mark Harris 3 G
Gatlin O'Donkor 2 G 1 A
Ciaron Brown 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Kassam Stadium. Oxford United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Cheltenham Town FC.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Sean Long needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Tom Bradbury has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Poor challenge from Liam Sercombe. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 25' Marcus McGuane has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 367 appearances.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Cheltenham Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' Cheltenham Town FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 48' Josh Murphy doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 53' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 57' Jordan Thomas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joe Nuttall on 57 minute.
  • 58' A tactical swap from Cheltenham Town FCJosh Harrop on, Liam Sercombe off on 58 minutes.
  • 61' Curtis Davies catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
  • 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 67' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Mark Harris exits the field as Will Goodwin enters on 67.
  • 72' Cheltenham Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 73' That is a card for Cheltenham Town FC. Josh Harrop will be fuming at that decision.
  • 76' That is a card for Oxford United FC. Ciaron Brown will be fuming at that decision.
  • 80' Assisted by Liam Kinsella with the perfectly-timed delivery and Will Ferry makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 83' The whistle greets Liam Kinsella as he departs to be replaced by Elliot Bonds.
  • 88' Against the run of play, Greg Leigh has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' Billy Bodin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Josh Murphy on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Cheltenham Town FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC50% Draw26% Cheltenham Town FC24%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Cheltenham Town FC
50%
Oxford United FC or Cheltenham Town FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC33% Draw47% Cheltenham Town FC20%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.