Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Sun 3 Mar 2019 · 20:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-ÉtienneLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Referee Nicolas Danos
  • Referee Cyril Gringore
  • Referee Nicolas Rainville
  • Referee Benoit Millot
16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Orange Velodrome that hosts another battle between Olympique de Marseille and AS Saint-Étienne.
  • 5' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Hiroki Sakai on 5 minutes.
  • 10' AS Saint-Étienne are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 12' Goal! Mario Balotelli scores his 14 goal in 442 matches.
  • 17' Olympique de Marseille seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 19' Mathieu Debuchy picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 21' What a strike from Florian Thauvin! The score is 2-0.
  • 25' Bouna Sarr has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 25.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' It’s high time Jean-Louis Gasset made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 45' Olympique de Marseille currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' A change in the AS Saint-Etienne ranks — Loic Perrin exits the field as Robert Beric enters on 46.
  • 51' AS Saint-Étienne are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 65' Luiz Gustavo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Valere Germain on 65 minute.
  • 70' Time for substitution for AS Saint-Etienne. Romain Hamouma is replaced by Lois Diony.
  • 75' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 76' Valentin Vada gets the nod from AS Saint-Etienne. He replaces Mathieu Debuchy and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Mario Balotelli makes way for Clinton Njie at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Olympique de Marseille.
  • 84' The travelling AS Saint-Étienne supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 85' AS Saint-Etienne receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 85.
  • 86' Another substitution for Olympique de Marseille to replace Morgan Sanson by Kevin Strootman on 86 minute.
  • Olympique de Marseille celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 AS Saint-Étienne xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille56% Draw26% AS Saint-Étienne18%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
82%
Draw or AS Saint-Étienne
44%
Olympique de Marseille or AS Saint-Étienne
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille36% Draw50% AS Saint-Étienne14%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push AS Saint-Étienne covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
45%
AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.