Nagoya Grampus vs Vegalta Sendai, 2016

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Primeira Liga 2016/17 · 2016

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 2

Full Time

Vegalta Sendai

Sat 1 Oct 2016 · 10:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Vegalta Sendai — Primeira Liga .

Nagoya Grampus 0 games · 0 pts
Vegalta Sendai 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Nagoya Grampus 1.85

Draw 3.40

Vegalta Sendai 4.33

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 2.9 goals Vegalta Sendai

Last 5 meetings

2016-10-01 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Vegalta Sendai 2016-03-07 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 Vegalta Sendai 2015-10-24 Vegalta Sendai 2–2 Nagoya Grampus 2015-01-31 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Vegalta Sendai 2014-08-23 Vegalta Sendai 1–5 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Oct	Vegalta Sendai	H	1–2	L
25 Sep	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–2	L
18 Sep	Vissel Kobe	H	3–1	W
11 Sep	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	1–0	W
28 Aug	Kingstonian FC	H	1–0	W
22 Aug	Jubilo Iwata	A	1–1	D

Vegalta Sendai

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–1	W
23 Sep	Vissel Kobe	A	2–4	L
17 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–0	W
11 Sep	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	0–0	D
27 Aug	Jubilo Iwata	H	1–3	L
20 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nagoya Grampus and Vegalta Sendai get this one started.
Nagoya Grampus will have plenty to reflect on. Vegalta Sendai were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Vegalta Sendai Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jo	3
Jo	3
Takuma Nishimura	3
Takuma Nishimura	2
Shun Nagasawa	2
Yasuhiro Hiraoka	1
Naoki Ishihara	1
Ramon Lopes	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2016-10-01 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Vegalta Sendai L 2016-09-25 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2016-09-18 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Vissel Kobe W 2016-09-11 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2016-08-28 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kingstonian FC W 2016-08-22 Jubilo Iwata 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D

Vegalta Sendai Form

2016-10-01 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Vegalta Sendai W 2016-09-23 Vissel Kobe 4–2 Vegalta Sendai L 2016-09-17 Vegalta Sendai 2–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2016-09-11 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–0 Vegalta Sendai D 2016-08-27 Vegalta Sendai 1–3 Jubilo Iwata L 2016-08-20 Kashima Antlers 4–0 Vegalta Sendai L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.69 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.28 Vegalta Sendai xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Vegalta Sendai 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus44% Draw27% Vegalta Sendai29%

Actual: Vegalta Sendai win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

71%

Draw or Vegalta Sendai

56%

Nagoya Grampus or Vegalta Sendai

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus34% Draw44% Vegalta Sendai22%

Actual: Vegalta Sendai win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12%

2 – 1

1 – 0

7.8%

2 – 0

7.2%

0 – 0

6.9%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

5.8%

0 – 1

5.7%

3 – 1

5.1%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Vegalta Sendai covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	21%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	16%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Vegalta Sendai keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.