Wednesday , 30 September 2026

NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs Valmiera FC, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 1

Tue 11 Jul 2023 · 18:00 UTC Stozice Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 35' Ruan Ribeiro

Overview

Match Preview

NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs Valmiera FC — Champions League Q at Stozice Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andrei Chivulete

Head-to-Head

2
NK Olimpija Ljubljana 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Valmiera FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jul Valmiera FC H 2–1 W
17 Sep HSK Zrinjski Mostar H 2–3 L
27 Aug KF Víkingur H 2–1 W
01 Aug Yeni Malatyaspor H 0–1 L
25 Jul Yeni Malatyaspor A 2–2 D
18 Jul FK Rigas Futbola Skola A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jul NK Olimpija Ljubljana A 1–2 L
27 Aug KKS Lech Poznań A 0–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Valmiera FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Niks Sliede is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Valmiera FC.
  • 10' Valmiera FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Valmiera FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' Ruan Ribeiro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 35' Valmiera FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 42' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mustafa Nukic makes it 1-0.
  • 47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 52' Valmiera FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
  • 57' Agustin Doffo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Valmiera FC tonight.
  • 62' Marcel Ratnik, a Slovenia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 65' A tactical swap from Valmiera FC — Rifet Kapic on, Victor Diagne off on 65 minutes.
  • 67' Another substitution for Valmiera FC to replace Alvis Jaunzems by Pape Yare Fall on 67 minute.
  • 72' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 74' The deadlock is broken! Rui Pedro gets on the scoresheet on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Valmiera FC have won 2 goals from 3 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ivan Zhelizko made 3 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 87' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Meissa Diop makes it 2-1.
  • 90' Jorge Silva makes way for Justas Lasickas at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from NK Olimpija Ljubljana.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 NK Olimpija Ljubljana xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Valmiera FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
NK Olimpija Ljubljana52% Draw25% Valmiera FC23%
Actual: NK Olimpija Ljubljana win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

NK Olimpija Ljubljana or Draw
78%
Draw or Valmiera FC
48%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana or Valmiera FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NK Olimpija Ljubljana36% Draw46% Valmiera FC18%
Actual: NK Olimpija Ljubljana win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Handicap NK Olimpija Ljubljana covers Push Valmiera FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

NK Olimpija Ljubljana keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Valmiera FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.