Thursday , 2 July 2026

NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs Valmiera FC, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 1

Champions League Qualification · 2023
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
2 – 1
Full Time
Valmiera FC
Tue 11 Jul 2023 · 18:00 UTC Stozice Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 35' Ruan Ribeiro

Overview

Match Preview

NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs Valmiera FC — Champions League Q at Stozice Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andrei Chivulete

Head-to-Head

2
NK Olimpija Ljubljana 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Valmiera FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-07-11 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 2–1 Valmiera FC

Recent Form

NK Olimpija Ljubljana
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jul Valmiera FC H 2–1 W
17 Sep HSK Zrinjski Mostar H 2–3 L
27 Aug KF Vikingur H 2–1 W
01 Aug Yeni Malatyaspor H 0–1 L
25 Jul Yeni Malatyaspor A 2–2 D
18 Jul FK Rigas Futbola Skola A 2–0 W
Valmiera FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jul NK Olimpija Ljubljana A 1–2 L
27 Aug KKS Lech Poznan A 0–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
NK Olimpija Ljubljana this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

NK Olimpija Ljubljana
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for NK Olimpija Ljubljana to score. At the same time, Valmiera FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. NK Olimpija Ljubljana is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' It looks surprising NK Olimpija Ljubljana does not make any changes. Niks Sliede has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Valmiera FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' It’s gonna be a card for Ruan Ribeiro.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 42' What a strike from Mustafa Nukic! The score is 1-0.
  • 47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. NK Olimpija Ljubljana needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ivan Zhelizko, as he is very good at scoring at Stozice Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 62' Valmiera FC is showing some good football. However, Valmiera FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' Another change for Valmiera FC made on 65 minute. Victor Diagne leaves to be changed by Rifet Kapic.
  • 67' Another change for Valmiera FC made on 67 minute. Alvis Jaunzems leaves to be changed by Pape Yare Fall.
  • 72' Jorge Silva has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 74' What a strike from Rui Pedro! The score is 2-0.
  • 79' NK Olimpija Ljubljana is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matevz Vidovsek made 183 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 87' GOAL! Meissa Diop scores on 87.
  • 90' It is a substitution in NK Olimpija Ljubljana team. Jorge Silva is replaced by Justas Lasickas on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

NK Olimpija Ljubljana Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Valmiera FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 NK Olimpija Ljubljana xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Valmiera FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
NK Olimpija Ljubljana52% Draw25% Valmiera FC23%
Actual: NK Olimpija Ljubljana win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

NK Olimpija Ljubljana or Draw
78%
Draw or Valmiera FC
48%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana or Valmiera FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NK Olimpija Ljubljana36% Draw46% Valmiera FC18%
Actual: NK Olimpija Ljubljana win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Handicap NK Olimpija Ljubljana covers Push Valmiera FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

NK Olimpija Ljubljana keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Valmiera FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.