NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs Valmiera FC, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 1
Overview
Match Preview
NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs Valmiera FC — Champions League Q at Stozice Stadium.
- NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Valmiera FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Andrei Chivulete
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul | Valmiera FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | HSK Zrinjski Mostar | H | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | KF Víkingur | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Aug | Yeni Malatyaspor | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jul | Yeni Malatyaspor | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jul | FK Rigas Futbola Skola | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul | NK Olimpija Ljubljana | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | KKS Lech Poznań | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. NK Olimpija Ljubljana host Valmiera FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Marcel Ratnik is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for NK Olimpija Ljubljana tonight.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Stozice Stadium. Valmiera FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His NK Olimpija Ljubljana side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' Ivan Posavec has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 183 appearances.
- 30' NK Olimpija Ljubljana are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Valmiera FC's shape.
- 35' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ruan Ribeiro.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 42' A goal from the Slovenia international Mustafa Nukic! He fires home on 42 to make it 1-0!
- 47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 52' Leonardo Gaucho, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 57' Svit Seslar has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 62' NK Olimpija Ljubljana currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 65' Fresh legs for Valmiera FC! Rifet Kapic comes on to replace Victor Diagne.
- 67' A change in the Valmiera FC ranks — Alvis Jaunzems exits the field as Pape Yare Fall enters on 67.
- 72' NK Olimpija Ljubljana have won 53 goals from 183 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 74' Rui Pedro adds to his 0 season tally! NK Olimpija Ljubljana lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 79' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 84' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 87' The deadlock is broken! Meissa Diop gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
- 90' The whistle greets Jorge Silva as he departs to be replaced by Justas Lasickas.
- Valmiera FC will have plenty to reflect on. NK Olimpija Ljubljana were simply the better side today.
Lineups
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
- 10
-
2
Jorge Silva ↓ Justas Lasickas 90'
- 19
- 3
- 69
- 16
- 14
- 21
- 99
- 9
Bench
- 43
-
8
Justas Lasickas ↑ 90'
- 17
- 30
- 77
- 6
- 11
- 26
- 31
- 22
- 33
- 20
Valmiera FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 6
-
10
Alvis Jaunzems ↓ Pape Yare Fall 67'
- 20
-
80
Victor Diagne ↓ Rifet Kapic 65'
- 9
- 23
-
24
Alioune Ndoye ↓ Leonardo Gaucho 65'
- 70
Bench
- 26
- 4
-
17
Pape Yare Fall ↑ 67'
- 27
- 7
- 8
- 22
-
49
Rifet Kapic ↑ 65'
- 99
-
75
Leonardo Gaucho ↑ 65'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rui Pedro | 2 |
| Ahmet Muhamedbegovic | 1 |
| Camilo Mena | 1 |
| Mustafa Nukic | 1 |
| Meissa Diop | 1 |
Head to Head
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Form
2023-07-11
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
2–1
Valmiera FC
W
2020-09-17
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
2–3
HSK Zrinjski Mostar
L
2020-08-27
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
2–1
KF Víkingur
W
2019-08-01
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
0–1
Yeni Malatyaspor
L
2019-07-25
Yeni Malatyaspor
2–2
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
D
2019-07-18
FK Rigas Futbola Skola
0–2
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7
NK Olimpija Ljubljana xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Valmiera FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: NK Olimpija Ljubljana win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
NK Olimpija Ljubljana or Draw
78%
Draw or Valmiera FC
48%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana or Valmiera FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: NK Olimpija Ljubljana win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — NK Olimpija Ljubljana
| Handicap | NK Olimpija Ljubljana covers | Push | Valmiera FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
NK Olimpija Ljubljana keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Valmiera FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.