Sunday , 16 August 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Olympique Lyonnais, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 16 Feb 2025 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson 16,573 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tanguy Coulibaly 38' 1–1
1–2 50' Ernest Nuamah
1–3 53' Corentin Tolisso

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Olympique LyonnaisLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Luczynski
  • Assistant 2 Yannick Boutry

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
09 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L
31 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 0–2 L
26 Jan Toulouse FC A 2–1 W
17 Jan AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
12 Jan Angers SCO H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb Montpellier HSC A 4–1 W
09 Feb Stade de Reims H 4–0 W
02 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 2–3 L
30 Jan PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 1–1 D
26 Jan FC Nantes A 1–1 D
23 Jan Fenerbahçe SK A 0–0 D

Key Stats

77% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.42 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 Olympique Lyonnais xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC or Olympique Lyonnais 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC29% Draw26% Olympique Lyonnais45%
Actual: Olympique Lyonnais win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
55%
Draw or Olympique Lyonnais
71%
Montpellier HSC or Olympique Lyonnais
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC23% Draw42% Olympique Lyonnais35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 0
3.9%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Olympique Lyonnais covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 20% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 14% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
17%
Olympique Lyonnais keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.