Sunday , 16 August 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 1 Dec 2024 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson 13,691 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Jonathan David pen
Issiaga Sylla 45+2' 1–1
1–2 54' Jonathan David pen
Arnaud Nordin 90+3' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Lille OSCLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Millot
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Lille OSC H 2–2 D
23 Nov AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
10 Nov Stade Brestois 29 H 3–1 W
03 Nov Le Havre AC A 0–1 L
27 Oct Toulouse FC H 0–3 L
20 Oct Olympique de Marseille H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Montpellier HSC A 2–2 D
27 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
24 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–0 W
10 Nov OGC Nice A 2–2 D
05 Nov Juventus FC H 1–1 D
01 Nov Olympique Lyonnais H 1–1 D

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC or Lille OSC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC32% Draw28% Lille OSC40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
59%
Draw or Lille OSC
68%
Montpellier HSC or Lille OSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC24% Draw45% Lille OSC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 20% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
22%
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.