Sunday , 16 August 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Le Mans FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
Montpellier HSC
4 – 2
Full Time
Le Mans FC
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Le Mans FC — Ligue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Azzedine Souifi

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Saint-Étienne 2 6
2 FC Annecy 2 6
3 USL Dunkerque 2 4
4 FC Metz 2 4
5 Montpellier HSC 2 4
6 Red Star FC 2 4
7 Rodez Aveyron Football 2 3
8 En Avant Guingamp 2 3
9 Pau FC 2 3
10 Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 2 3
11 Stade de Reims 2 2
12 Dijon Football Cote d'Or 2 1
13 AS Nancy-Lorraine 2 1
14 US Boulogne Côte d'Opale 2 1
15 Grenoble Foot 38 2 1
16 Clermont Foot 63 2 1
17 FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 2 1
18 FC Nantes 2 0

Head-to-Head

2
Montpellier HSC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Le Mans FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-14 Montpellier HSC 4–2 Le Mans FC 2025-08-18 Le Mans FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC

Recent Form

Montpellier HSC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Le Mans FC H 4–2 W
07 Feb AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
30 Jan En Avant Guingamp H 3–1 W
23 Jan SC Bastia A 2–0 W
16 Jan US Boulogne Côte d'Opale A 0–1 L
05 Jan USL Dunkerque H 1–3 L
Le Mans FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Montpellier HSC A 2–4 L
07 Feb Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 1–1 D
31 Jan ES Troyes AC A 2–0 W
26 Jan USL Dunkerque H 1–0 W
16 Jan Rodez Aveyron Football A 1–1 D
03 Jan AS Saint-Étienne H 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Montpellier HSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Montpellier HSC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Montpellier HSC Lineups

Le Mans FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.05 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Le Mans FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC52% Draw23% Le Mans FC25%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
76%
Draw or Le Mans FC
48%
Montpellier HSC or Le Mans FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC38% Draw40% Le Mans FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Le Mans FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 21% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Le Mans FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.