Saturday , 14 November 2026

Millwall FC vs Aston Villa FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 6 Oct 2018 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Aston Villa FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Purkiss
  • Referee Paul Hodskinson
  • Referee Geoff Russell
  • Referee Tony Harrington

Head-to-Head

1
1
Millwall FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Aston Villa FC H 2–1 W
03 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 2–2 D
29 Sep Sheffield United FC H 2–3 L
22 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–2 L
19 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–2 L
15 Sep Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Millwall FC A 1–2 L
02 Oct Preston North End FC H 3–3 D
28 Sep Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
22 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
18 Sep Rotherham United FC H 2–0 W
15 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 5 G 2 A
Camiel Neghli 3 G 3 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Millwall FC and Aston Villa FC has kicked off!
  • 4' Tom Elliott catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 4.
  • 7' Goal! Tammy Abraham scores his 94 goal in 366 matches.
  • 12' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 17' Millwall FC have won 421 goals from 394 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Neil Harris will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 26' Brilliant from the ! Shane Ferguson makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 26.
  • 31' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' Millwall FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Aston Villa FC's shape.
  • 48' The deadlock is broken! Tom Elliott gets on the scoresheet on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Supporters expect more eagerness from Axel Tuanzebe, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 58' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 63' John McGinn is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Ahmed El Mohamady is replaced by Jonathan Kodjia on 66 minute.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Aston Villa FC — Yannick Bolasie on, John McGinn off on 69 minutes.
  • 71' Yannick Bolasie has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
  • 74' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Tom Elliott is replaced by Steve Morison.
  • 79' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 84' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 87' Aston Villa FC make a change. Conor Hourihane trudges off to be replaced by Albert Adomah on 87 minutes.
  • 89' Shane Ferguson makes way for Aiden O'Brien at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Millwall FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.57 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC48% Draw27% Aston Villa FC25%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
52%
Millwall FC or Aston Villa FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC33% Draw46% Aston Villa FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.