Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2020-21

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Central Coast Mariners FC

Sun 2 May 2021 · 06:05 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 61' Danny DeSilva

Storm Roux 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Central Coast Mariners FC 26 games · 32 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 19 games · Avg 2.9 goals Central Coast Mariners FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-05-02 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Central Coast Mariners FC 2021-03-27 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2020-08-03 Melbourne Victory FC 2–3 Central Coast Mariners FC 2020-01-12 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-04-14 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Central Coast Mariners FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 May	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–1	D
27 Apr	Sydney FC	A	0–1	L
23 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	5–4	W
17 Apr	Melbourne City FC	A	0–7	L
10 Apr	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	2–1	W
04 Apr	Sydney FC	H	0–3	L

Central Coast Mariners FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
28 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–4	L
24 Apr	Sydney FC	H	2–2	D
17 Apr	Western United FC	A	0–1	L
06 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–2	D
01 Apr	Adelaide United FC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Central Coast Mariners FC
#4	Position	#9
40	Points	32
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	8 / 8 / 10
44	Scored	35
33	Conceded	42
+11	GD	-7
1.54	PPG	1.23
42%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Melbourne Victory FC have kicked off against Central Coast Mariners FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
4' Magnificent from Matt Simon! That is 20 goals in 208 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
9' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
14' Rudy Gestede is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Melbourne Victory FC so far.
19' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
24' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Central Coast Mariners FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
29' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Central Coast Mariners FC's compact .
34' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Central Coast Mariners FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
39' Danny DeSilva is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Central Coast Mariners FC tonight.
44' The 28-year-old Jake Brimmer has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lleyton Brooks made 210 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
54' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
61' Danny DeSilva has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 61.
62' A goal from the England international Callum McManaman! He fires home on 62 to make it 1-1!
67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
70' Another substitution for Central Coast Mariners FC to replace Matt Simon by Daniel Bouman on 70 minute.
74' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Lleyton Brooks trudges off to be replaced by Elvis Kamsoba on 74 minutes.
77' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Callum McManaman has done his job and it is now time for Brandon Lauton to step up.
82' Central Coast Mariners FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
84' Time for substitution for Central Coast Mariners FC. Danny DeSilva is replaced by Jordan Smylie.
89' It looks like no one’s ball. Central Coast Mariners FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
90' The referee calls foul for Storm Roux. He receives a Yellow card.
90' Matthew Hatch gets the nod from Central Coast Mariners FC. He replaces Alou Kuol and will look to change the dynamic.
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

20
Adam Pearce
3
Lewis Miller ↑ 84'
14
Daniel Bouman ↑ 70'
30
Jordan Smylie ↑ 84'
26
Jaden Casella
25
Matthew Hatch ↑ 90'
7
Stefan Jankovic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nishan Velupillay	3
Matt Simon	3
Jason Cummings	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Dylan Ruiz-Diaz	2
Ben Kennedy	2
Callum McManaman	2
Andrew Hoole	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2021-05-02 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2021-04-27 Sydney FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2021-04-23 Melbourne Victory FC 5–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2021-04-17 Melbourne City FC 7–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2021-04-10 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2021-04-04 Melbourne Victory FC 0–3 Sydney FC L

Central Coast Mariners FC Form

2021-05-02 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2021-04-28 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–4 Brisbane Roar FC L 2021-04-24 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–2 Sydney FC D 2021-04-17 Western United FC 1–0 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2021-04-06 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–2 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2021-04-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.96 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.47 Central Coast Mariners FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC46% Draw25% Central Coast Mariners FC29%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.43

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC

54%

Melbourne Victory FC or Central Coast Mariners FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC36% Draw41% Central Coast Mariners FC23%

Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.8%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.2%

1 – 0

5.7%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 0

4.7%

3 – 2

4.2%

0 – 1

4.1%

3 – 0

0 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	20%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	15%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.